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West Georgia at UMass Lowell

Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET at Kennedy Family Athletic Complex. West Georgia our rank 267 · 2-1; UMass Lowell our rank 340 · 2-2.

Who will win West Georgia vs UMass Lowell?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives West Georgia a 66% chance to beat UMass Lowell, with a projected score of West Georgia 70, UMass Lowell 65.

To winWest Georgia 66%UMass Lowell 34%
Projected score70–65West Georgia, then UMass Lowell
Margin5.3West Georgia · no line posted
Total135.7no line posted
First half34–31West Georgia ahead 61%
West Georgia by 40by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10UMass Lowell by 20Model: West Georgia by 5.3West Georgia by 40by 20EvenUMass Lowell by 20Model: West Georgia by 5.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
West Georgia
TolbertG · 36 min14.33.73.515+ 44%
O'GaraG · 35 min12.03.64.310+ 62%
GentileG · 29 min11.03.81.610+ 56%
ParhamG · 31 min9.43.52.110+ 44%
UMass Lowell
SolomonG · 27 min11.42.91.910+ 58%
ChimaF · 26 min9.96.70.510+ 47%
EdwardsG · 20 min7.72.61.010+ 31%
RiceG · 22 min6.73.71.15+ 63%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    West Georgia 2-1LWW

    1. Nov 10W 89-50vs Fort Valley State
    2. Nov 7W 80-78vs Alabama St
    3. Nov 2L 53-92at Georgia
    Last 3
    2–1, scoring 74.0 and allowing 73.3

    UMass Lowell 2-2WWLL

    1. Nov 11L 57-86at Boston College
    2. Nov 8L 61-73at Canisius
    3. Nov 5W 78-53vs Niagara
    4. Nov 2W 77-53vs Saint Anselm
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 68.2 and allowing 66.2

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    West GeorgiaUMass Lowell
    Points scored per 100 possessions87.4 229th81.5 301st
    Points allowed per 100100.8 309th104.5 344th
    Possessions a game73.0 96th70.9 293rd
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)42.7% 321st45.8% 150th
    Opponents' shooting46.2% 224th47.2% 279th
    Turnovers, share of possessions21.9% 53rd28.3% 351st
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses31.7% 245th38.3% 11th
    Free throws per shot0.22 120th0.24 27th

    The widest gap: West Georgia's offense (229th) against UMass Lowell's defense (344th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    West Georgia 34, UMass Lowell 31
    First-half margin
    West Georgia by 3.1
    First-half points, both teams
    64.3
    Projected second half
    West Georgia 37, UMass Lowell 35
    Second-half points, both teams
    71.3
    Tied at the half
    4%
    West Georgia, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 3 · 34.3 scored, 36.7 allowed
    UMass Lowell, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 33.2 scored, 33.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    West Georgia

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Sydne TolbertG3614.33.73.51.3
    15+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 48% · 4+ ast 46%
    Grace O'GaraG3512.03.64.31.5
    10+ pts 62% · 4+ reb 46% · 5+ ast 43%
    Parris ParhamG319.43.52.11.9
    10+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 44% · 2+ threes 50%
    Meghan GentileG2911.03.81.62.4
    10+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 46%
    Kobi BarnesF226.35.80.60.1
    5+ pts 59% · 6+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 15%
    Mya JonesG227.72.01.30.8
    10+ pts 31% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 51%
    Ongolea AfuF204.96.20.80.2
    5+ pts 45% · 6+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 20%

    UMass Lowell

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Kayla SolomonG2711.42.91.91.9
    10+ pts 58% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 50%
    Nia ChimaF269.96.70.50.4
    10+ pts 47% · 7+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 34%
    Carla SubiratsG244.42.21.60.6
    5+ pts 40% · 2+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 41%
    Achol AgokF246.56.01.00.2
    5+ pts 61% · 6+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 26%
    Milena LundG225.72.72.10.5
    50% to play · 5+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 59%
    Maddie RiceG226.73.71.10.8
    5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 50%
    Yazmin EdwardsG207.72.61.00.4
    10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 30%
    Izabella AspF195.63.90.60.3
    5+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 23%

    Missed the last game: Milena Lund (24 min a game).

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Sun, Nov 15

    All games
    1. 1 PMprojected 77-74Vanderbilt vs Iowa, women's: game page
    2. 2 PMprojected 73-74Florida at Florida St, women's: game page
    3. 2 PMprojected 69-69Michigan St at Harvard, women's: game page
    4. 2 PMprojected 74-74Villanova at Fairfield, women's: game page
    5. 4 PMprojected 68-67Montana St at UNLV, women's: game page
    6. 5:30 PMprojected 77-70UConn at Louisville, women's: game page
    West Georgia next: at Stonehill, Fri, Nov 13 · 62%UMass Lowell next: vs C Connecticut, Wed, Nov 18 · 81%West Georgia: schedule and oddsUMass Lowell: schedule and odds