C Connecticut at UMass Lowell
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Kennedy Family Athletic Complex. C Connecticut our rank 361 · 0-4; UMass Lowell our rank 340 · 2-2.
Who will win C Connecticut vs UMass Lowell?
The model gives UMass Lowell a 81% chance to beat Central Connecticut, with a projected score of UMass Lowell 68, C Connecticut 57.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Lowell | |||||
| SolomonG · 27 min | 11.9 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 10+ 61% | |
| ChimaF · 25 min | 10.3 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 10+ 50% | |
| EdwardsG · 20 min | 8.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 10+ 34% | |
| RiceG · 22 min | 7.1 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 5+ 66% | |
| C Connecticut | |||||
| DinglerG · 29 min | 10.9 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 10+ 55% | |
| VrcanG · 23 min | 7.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 5+ 68% | |
| SalamoneG · 24 min | 6.4 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 5+ 60% | |
| McKelveyC · 16 min | 4.9 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 5+ 45% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
C Connecticut 0-4LLLL
- Last 4
- 0–4, scoring 46.5 and allowing 69.5
UMass Lowell 2-2WWLL
- Nov 11L 57-86at Boston College
- Nov 8L 61-73at Canisius
- Nov 5W 78-53vs Niagara
- Nov 2W 77-53vs Saint Anselm
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 68.2 and allowing 66.2
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| C Connecticut | UMass Lowell | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 71.6 359th | 81.5 301st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 105.6 352nd | 104.5 344th |
| Possessions a game | 71.9 193rd | 70.9 293rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 42.5% 328th | 45.8% 150th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.8% 304th | 47.2% 279th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 27.1% 346th | 28.3% 351st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.8% 324th | 38.3% 11th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.18 333rd | 0.24 27th |
The widest gap: UMass Lowell's offense (301st) against C Connecticut's defense (352nd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- C Connecticut 27, UMass Lowell 33
- First-half margin
- UMass Lowell by 6.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 59.7
- Projected second half
- C Connecticut 31, UMass Lowell 35
- Second-half points, both teams
- 66.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- C Connecticut, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 4 · 21.0 scored, 31.2 allowed
- UMass Lowell, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 33.2 scored, 33.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
C Connecticut
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jill DinglerG | 29 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 42% | |||||
| Liana SalamoneG | 24 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Valentina VrcanG | 23 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Nicora PatrickG | 19 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
| Taryn CampbellF | 18 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 4+ reb 41% | |||||
| Na-Kyah WilliamsG | 18 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Christa RamosG | 17 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 18% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Nyasia McKelveyC | 16 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 47% | |||||
UMass Lowell
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla SolomonG | 27 | 11.9 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 52% | |||||
| Nia ChimaF | 25 | 10.3 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 7+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
| Carla SubiratsG | 23 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Achol AgokF | 23 | 6.8 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 6+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 29% | |||||
| Milena LundG | 22 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| 50% to play · 5+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Maddie RiceG | 22 | 7.1 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 4+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Yazmin EdwardsG | 20 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Izabella AspF | 19 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 24% | |||||
Missed the last game: Milena Lund (24 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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