Who will win Boston U vs Stonehill?
The model gives Boston University a 55% chance to beat Stonehill, with a projected score of Boston U 69, Stonehill 68.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boston U | |||||
| GeorgiadesG · 22 min | 11.8 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 10+ 61% | |
| AllardF · 32 min | 10.6 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 10+ 53% | |
| McLaughlinG · 25 min | 8.5 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 10+ 37% | |
| GunnsteinsdóttirG · 25 min | 7.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 5+ 67% | |
 Stonehill | |||||
| PaquetteG · 26 min | 13.0 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 15+ 37% | |
| RoggenburkC · 27 min | 11.5 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 10+ 59% | |
| SiasC · 25 min | 11.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 10+ 58% | |
| PelletierG · 27 min | 8.8 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 10+ 39% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Boston U 1-2LLW
- Nov 10W 88-47vs UMass Boston
- Nov 6L 61-71vs Northeastern
- Nov 2L 49-56at Dartmouth
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 66.0 and allowing 58.0
Stonehill 0-3LLL
- Nov 8L 63-95at DePaul
- Nov 6L 40-123at Notre DameDidn't cover +45.5 · Over 146.5
- Nov 3L 65-79at Providence
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 56.0 and allowing 99.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Boston U | Stonehill | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.3 211th | 84.6 267th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.9 338th | 107.4 359th |
| Possessions a game | 68.8 361st | 72.2 156th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.6% 115th | 45.3% 185th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.5% 297th | 48.9% 340th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.5% 305th | 27.1% 344th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.6% 194th | 33.2% 159th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 259th | 0.20 278th |
The widest gap: Boston U's offense (211th) against Stonehill's defense (359th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Boston U 33, Stonehill 32
- First-half margin
- Boston U by 0.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.7
- Projected second half
- Boston U 36, Stonehill 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Boston U, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 33.3 scored, 33.3 allowed
- Stonehill, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 28.7 scored, 49.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Boston U
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate AllardF | 32 | 10.6 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 61% | |||||
| Aoibhe GormleyG | 31 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 49% · 4+ ast 41% | |||||
| Rose AzmoudehG | 29 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 54% | |||||
| Aina Grane TorresG | 26 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Hildur GunnsteinsdóttirG | 25 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Bella McLaughlinG | 25 | 8.5 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| 24% to play · 10+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 58% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Sophia GeorgiadesG | 22 | 11.8 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Allison SchwertnerF | 15 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 18% | |||||
Missed the last game: Bella McLaughlin (28 min a game).
Stonehill
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella PelletierG | 27 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Reese RoggenburkC | 27 | 11.5 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 9+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Brooke PaquetteG | 26 | 13.0 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 40% | |||||
| Megan SiasC | 25 | 11.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Phoena DadsonG | 21 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Breana DelaneyG | 20 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 25% · 2+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 36% | |||||
| Julia WebsterF | 17 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 30% | |||||
| Rissi SmithG | 15 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
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