Who won Boston U vs Dartmouth?
Final: Dartmouth 56, Boston University 49. Before tip-off the model gave Dartmouth a 58% chance to win, with a projected margin of 2.8 points for Dartmouth. Catherine MacDonald scored 14 for Dartmouth; Kate Allard had 11 for Boston U.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Catherine MacDonald: Boston U 43%Dartmouth 57%
The white mark is the call with her: Dartmouth 58%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Dartmouth without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dartmouth | ||||
| Catherine MacDonald | 0.5 | 57% | −1 | 74–76 |
Change is in Dartmouth's win chance, in points. Scores read Boston U, then Dartmouth. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Boston U
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Dartmouth
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Boston U | Dartmouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.3 211th | 80.1 316th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.9 338th | 91.8 131st |
| Possessions a game | 68.8 361st | 70.0 338th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.6% 115th | 42.4% 332nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.5% 297th | 43.0% 40th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.5% 305th | 22.7% 114th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.6% 194th | 30.8% 290th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 259th | 0.17 353rd |
The widest gap: Dartmouth's defense (131st) against Boston U's offense (211th), of 363 teams.
First half
Dartmouth led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 9.4 points and the total by 20.4.
- At halftime
- Boston U 20, Dartmouth 31
- Projected halftime score
- Boston U 35, Dartmouth 37
- First-half margin
- Dartmouth by 1.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 71.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Boston U
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate AllardF | 34 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Aina Grane TorresG | 33 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Rose AzmoudehG | 29 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| Aoibhe GormleyG | 28 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Bella McLaughlinG | 28 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Sophia GeorgiadesG | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Hildur GunnsteinsdóttirG | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Allison SchwertnerF | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Dartmouth
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra EldredgeG | 38 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Catherine MacDonaldF | 33 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| Olivia AustinF | 26 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Sierra CarsonG | 26 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Zeynep OzelG | 25 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Tahira MuhammadG | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Peyton HoblockF | 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacalyn MyrthilG | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Debra HillF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |