Boston U at Quinnipiac
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at M&T Bank Arena. Boston U our rank 272 · 1-2; Quinnipiac our rank 211 · 1-3.
Who will win Boston U vs Quinnipiac?
The model gives Quinnipiac a 78% chance to beat Boston University, with a projected score of Quinnipiac 71, Boston U 61.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | |||||
| ThomasC · 26 min | 15.9 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 15+ 54% | |
| SnyderG · 29 min | 10.2 | 10.2 | 1.3 | 10+ 49% | |
| BenoitG · 25 min | 9.0 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 10+ 41% | |
| ThomasG · 21 min | 7.0 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 5+ 65% | |
| Boston U | |||||
| GeorgiadesG · 22 min | 10.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 10+ 53% | |
| AllardF · 31 min | 9.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 10+ 44% | |
| McLaughlinG · 25 min | 7.6 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 5+ 70% | |
| GunnsteinsdóttirG · 25 min | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 5+ 61% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Maria Kealy: Boston U 24%Quinnipiac 76%
The white mark is the call with her: Quinnipiac 78%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Quinnipiac without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | ||||
| Maria Kealy | 0.5 | 76% | −2 | 62–71 |
Change is in Quinnipiac's win chance, in points. Scores read Boston U, then Quinnipiac. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Boston U 1-2LLW
- Nov 10W 88-47vs UMass Boston
- Nov 6L 61-71vs Northeastern
- Nov 2L 49-56at Dartmouth
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 66.0 and allowing 58.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Boston U | Quinnipiac | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.3 211th | 91.4 158th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 102.9 338th | 100.1 303rd |
| Possessions a game | 68.8 361st | 70.2 331st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.6% 115th | 45.5% 176th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.5% 297th | 48.0% 315th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.5% 305th | 23.4% 175th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.6% 194th | 32.3% 205th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 259th | 0.23 66th |
The widest gap: Quinnipiac's offense (158th) against Boston U's defense (338th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Boston U 29, Quinnipiac 34
- First-half margin
- Quinnipiac by 5.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.7
- Projected second half
- Boston U 33, Quinnipiac 37
- Second-half points, both teams
- 69.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Boston U, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 33.3 scored, 33.3 allowed
- Quinnipiac, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 33.2 scored, 33.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Boston U
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate AllardF | 31 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Aoibhe GormleyG | 30 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 42% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Rose AzmoudehG | 28 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Aina Grane TorresG | 26 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Hildur GunnsteinsdóttirG | 25 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Bella McLaughlinG | 25 | 7.6 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.3 |
| 24% to play · 5+ pts 70% · 3+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 43% | |||||
| Sophia GeorgiadesG | 22 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Allison SchwertnerF | 15 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
Missed the last game: Bella McLaughlin (28 min a game).
Quinnipiac
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle SnyderG | 29 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 10+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Lilly ThomasC | 26 | 15.9 | 6.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 15+ pts 54% · 7+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Kayla HopsonG | 26 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| Alanna BenoitG | 25 | 9.0 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Payton DulinG | 23 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 60% | |||||
| Ava ThomasG | 21 | 7.0 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Maria KealyG | 17 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 20% · 2+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Uliana DoroninaF | 13 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 28% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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