Lipscomb 53, Vanderbilt 112
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 12:00 PM ET at Memorial Gymnasium (TN). Lipscomb our rank 260 · 2-2; Vanderbilt AP 8, our rank 7 · 4-0.
Who won Lipscomb vs Vanderbilt?
Final: Vanderbilt 112, Lipscomb 53. Before tip-off the model gave Vanderbilt a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 43.0 points for Vanderbilt. Mikayla Blakes scored 27 for Vanderbilt; McKayla Miller had 16 for Lipscomb.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Mikayla Blakes: Lipscomb 1%Vanderbilt 99%
The white mark is the call with her: Vanderbilt >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Vanderbilt without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | ||||
| Mikayla Blakes | 8.0 | 99% | −1 | 66–101 |
| Aubrey Galvan | 5.8 | >99% | 0 | 65–102 |
| Mia Woolfolk | 4.7 | >99% | 0 | 65–103 |
| Vernell Atamah | 3.7 | >99% | 0 | 64–103 |
Change is in Vanderbilt's win chance, in points. Scores read Lipscomb, then Vanderbilt. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Lipscomb
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Vanderbilt
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lipscomb | Vanderbilt | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 85.8 255th | 119.9 4th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.9 274th | 81.6 31st |
| Possessions a game | 73.3 76th | 74.0 47th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.6% 69th | 52.6% 2nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.6% 299th | 44.7% 131st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.4% 301st | 21.1% 25th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.3% 338th | 38.6% 7th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 305th | 0.20 283rd |
The widest gap: Vanderbilt's offense (4th) against Lipscomb's defense (274th), of 363 teams.
First half
Vanderbilt led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 14.2 points and the total by 7.5.
- At halftime
- Lipscomb 24, Vanderbilt 63
- Projected halftime score
- Lipscomb 27, Vanderbilt 52
- First-half margin
- Vanderbilt by 24.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 79.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Lipscomb
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKayla MillerG | 28 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| Tess WiczekG | 24 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| Taliah LeeG | 23 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Elena BertrandG | 22 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Lexi PrimusG | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hope CountsG | 21 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Hannah RichardsonG | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Presly SamzG | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Mia SmithG | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Vanderbilt
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikayla BlakesG | 27 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| Aubrey GalvanG | 26 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
| Vernell AtamahG | 21 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Madison GreeneG | 21 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Jhai JohnsonF | 20 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Olivia JonesG | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mia WoolfolkF | 17 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Trinity WilsonF | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Aiyana MitchellF | 12 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 |