Lipscomb at Chattanooga
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at McKenzie Arena. Lipscomb our rank 260 · 2-2; Chattanooga our rank 192 · 2-2.
Who will win Lipscomb vs Chattanooga?
The model gives Chattanooga a 78% chance to beat Lipscomb, with a projected score of Chattanooga 70, Lipscomb 61.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.9% of the time in 7,564 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga | |||||
| StovallF · 24 min | 11.9 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 10+ 62% | |
| McPhersonG · 33 min | 11.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 10+ 59% | |
| GroomsG · 25 min | 8.5 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 10+ 37% | |
| LedfordG · 20 min | 7.5 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 5+ 69% | |
| Lipscomb | |||||
| MillerG · 26 min | 14.4 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 15+ 45% | |
| PrimusG · 21 min | 7.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 10+ 32% | |
| WiczekG · 21 min | 6.6 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 5+ 62% | |
| CountsG · 22 min | 6.0 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 5+ 56% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without TaTianna Stovall: Lipscomb 26%Chattanooga 74%
The white mark is the call with her: Chattanooga 78%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Chattanooga without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga | ||||
| TaTianna Stovall | 1.3 | 74% | −4 | 61–69 |
| Lydia Ledford | 0.6 | 76% | −2 | 61–70 |
Change is in Chattanooga's win chance, in points. Scores read Lipscomb, then Chattanooga. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Lipscomb 2-2LLWW
- Nov 12W 87-55vs Miss Valley St
- Nov 7W 90-49vs Carolina University
- Nov 5L 57-104at Butler
- Nov 2L 53-112at Vanderbilt
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 71.8 and allowing 80.0
Chattanooga 2-2WLLW
- Nov 12W 75-67at N Kentucky
- Nov 8L 58-64vs Florida
- Nov 4L 50-61at Western KY
- Nov 2W 85-44vs UVA Wise
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 67.0 and allowing 59.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lipscomb | Chattanooga | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 85.8 255th | 89.0 195th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.9 274th | 95.3 203rd |
| Possessions a game | 73.3 76th | 70.1 334th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.6% 69th | 45.4% 181st |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.6% 299th | 43.9% 80th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.4% 301st | 22.9% 125th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 29.3% 338th | 30.8% 291st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 305th | 0.20 265th |
The widest gap: Chattanooga's offense (195th) against Lipscomb's defense (274th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Lipscomb 28, Chattanooga 34
- First-half margin
- Chattanooga by 5.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.0
- Projected second half
- Lipscomb 32, Chattanooga 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Lipscomb, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 33.8 scored, 36.0 allowed
- Chattanooga, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 31.0 scored, 25.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Lipscomb
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKayla MillerG | 26 | 14.4 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Hope CountsG | 22 | 6.0 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Lexi PrimusG | 21 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 61% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Tess WiczekG | 21 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 2+ ast 48% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Elena BertrandG | 20 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 51% · 2+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Mia SmithG | 19 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Presly SamzG | 19 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 37% | |||||
| Hannah RichardsonG | 18 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 22% | |||||
Chattanooga
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy McPhersonG | 33 | 11.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Ava CardG | 29 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 7+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Sarah OwonaG | 27 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 4+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Gabbie GroomsG | 25 | 8.5 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| TaTianna StovallF | 24 | 11.9 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 53% | |||||
| Lydia LedfordG | 20 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| London WeaverG | 16 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 28% | |||||
| Falon BedkeF | 12 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 21% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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