Tennessee Tech at Lipscomb
Women's · Monday, November 23, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Allen Arena. Tennessee Tech our rank 276 · 1-2; Lipscomb our rank 260 · 2-2.
Who will win Tennessee Tech vs Lipscomb?
The model gives Lipscomb a 67% chance to beat Tennessee Tech, with a projected score of Lipscomb 74, Tennessee Tech 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lipscomb | |||||
| MillerG · 27 min | 16.9 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 15+ 60% | |
| PrimusG · 21 min | 9.0 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 10+ 41% | |
| WiczekG · 21 min | 7.7 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 10+ 31% | |
| CountsG · 22 min | 6.9 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 5+ 64% | |
| Tennessee Tech | |||||
| MartinG · 34 min | 12.3 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 10+ 64% | |
| CawthornF · 25 min | 11.0 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 10+ 55% | |
| DavisG · 33 min | 10.5 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 10+ 52% | |
| FreemanG · 27 min | 9.2 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 10+ 42% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Karson Martin: Tennessee Tech 30%Lipscomb 70%
The white mark is the call with her: Lipscomb 67%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Lipscomb without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Tech | ||||
| Karson Martin | 1.0 | 70% | +3 | 68–75 |
| LaReesha Cawthorn | 1.0 | 70% | +3 | 68–75 |
Change is in Lipscomb's win chance, in points. Scores read Tennessee Tech, then Lipscomb. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Tennessee Tech 1-2LWL
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 73.3 and allowing 87.0
Lipscomb 2-2LLWW
- Nov 12W 87-55vs Miss Valley St
- Nov 7W 90-49vs Carolina University
- Nov 5L 57-104at Butler
- Nov 2L 53-112at Vanderbilt
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 71.8 and allowing 80.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Tennessee Tech | Lipscomb | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 90.1 177th | 85.8 255th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 105.0 348th | 98.9 274th |
| Possessions a game | 72.6 129th | 73.3 76th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.6% 166th | 47.6% 69th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.9% 357th | 47.6% 299th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.3% 31st | 25.4% 301st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.5% 298th | 29.3% 338th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.19 325th | 0.19 305th |
The widest gap: Tennessee Tech's offense (177th) against Lipscomb's defense (274th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Tennessee Tech 32, Lipscomb 36
- First-half margin
- Lipscomb by 3.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.9
- Projected second half
- Tennessee Tech 37, Lipscomb 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 75.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Tennessee Tech, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 33.7 scored, 42.0 allowed
- Lipscomb, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 33.8 scored, 36.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Tennessee Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karson MartinG | 34 | 12.3 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 41% · 3+ ast 56% | |||||
| Savannah DavisG | 33 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Evie FreemanG | 27 | 9.2 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 45% · 3+ ast 54% | |||||
| LaReesha CawthornF | 25 | 11.0 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 9+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 24% | |||||
| Morgan SieperG | 25 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Amaya ReddF | 17 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
| Amelia PfeifferC | 10 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 3+ reb 50% | |||||
Lipscomb
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKayla MillerG | 27 | 16.9 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| 15+ pts 60% · 7+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Hope CountsG | 22 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Lexi PrimusG | 21 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Tess WiczekG | 21 | 7.7 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Elena BertrandG | 20 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 2+ reb 51% · 3+ ast 46% | |||||
| Mia SmithG | 19 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Presly SamzG | 19 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 41% | |||||
| Hannah RichardsonG | 18 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 25% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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