Green Bay at Northern Iowa
Women's · Monday, November 23, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at McLeod Center. Green Bay our rank 70 · 1-2; Northern Iowa our rank 141 · 1-2.
Who will win Green Bay vs Northern Iowa?
The model gives Green Bay a 66% chance to beat Northern Iowa, with a projected score of Green Bay 66, Northern Iowa 61.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | |||||
| SkorupskiG · 35 min | 16.2 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 15+ 56% | |
| SchultzF · 19 min | 10.2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 10+ 50% | |
| OuimetteG · 27 min | 9.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 10+ 47% | |
| BuwaldaF · 21 min | 8.7 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 10+ 39% | |
| Northern Iowa | |||||
| TwedtG · 30 min | 13.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 15+ 38% | |
| JaegerF · 27 min | 7.0 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 5+ 65% | |
| LevinG · 26 min | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 5+ 55% | |
| TuttleG · 27 min | 5.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 5+ 52% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Maddy Skorupski: Green Bay 52%Northern Iowa 48%
The white mark is the call with her: Green Bay 66%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Green Bay without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | ||||
| Maddy Skorupski | 4.2 | 52% | −14 | 64–63 |
| Elisa Mevius | 3.2 | 56% | −10 | 65–63 |
| Meghan Schultz | 2.5 | 58% | −8 | 65–63 |
| Kristina Ouimette | 1.6 | 61% | −5 | 65–62 |
| Northern Iowa | ||||
| Callie Levin | 1.9 | 71% | +5 | 67–60 |
| Jenna Twedt | 1.9 | 71% | +5 | 67–60 |
| Elise Jaeger | 1.7 | 71% | +5 | 67–60 |
| Kaylynn Janes | 0.7 | 68% | +2 | 67–61 |
Change is in Green Bay's win chance, in points. Scores read Green Bay, then Northern Iowa. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Green Bay 1-2LWL
- Nov 11L 66-75at Illinois St
- Nov 7W 82-48vs Loyola Chicago
- Nov 3L 60-76at Duke
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 69.3 and allowing 66.3
Northern Iowa 1-2WLL
- Nov 12L 40-78at IowaDidn't cover +32.5 · Under 135.5
- Nov 6L 54-76at S Dakota St
- Nov 2W 67-59vs St Thomas
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 53.7 and allowing 71.0
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Green Bay | Northern Iowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 98.5 86th | 90.4 168th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 86.5 62nd | 90.0 109th |
| Possessions a game | 71.4 234th | 71.4 234th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.4% 124th | 42.8% 319th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.6% 186th | 48.8% 339th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.2% 26th | 24.1% 235th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.6% 295th | 31.9% 231st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 30th | 0.22 152nd |
The widest gap: Green Bay's defense (62nd) against Northern Iowa's offense (168th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Green Bay 32, Northern Iowa 29
- First-half margin
- Green Bay by 2.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.4
- Projected second half
- Green Bay 35, Northern Iowa 32
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Green Bay, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 34.7 scored, 27.7 allowed
- Northern Iowa, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 21.7 scored, 34.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Green Bay
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddy SkorupskiG | 35 | 16.2 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 0.7 |
| 15+ pts 56% · 5+ ast 52% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Elisa MeviusG | 32 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 53% · 3+ ast 50% | |||||
| Kristina OuimetteG | 27 | 9.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 2.0 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Jorey BuwaldaF | 21 | 8.7 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Maren WestinG | 20 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Meghan SchultzF | 19 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 59% | |||||
| McKenna JohnsonG | 18 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Gracie GrzeskF | 17 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
Northern Iowa
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna TwedtG | 30 | 13.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 55% | |||||
| Elise JaegerF | 27 | 7.0 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 9+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 60% | |||||
| Abby TuttleG | 27 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Callie LevinG | 26 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Maren SchmotzerF | 21 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 15% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 21% | |||||
| Kaylynn JanesF | 18 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 35% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
| Mya NicholsonG | 15 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 39% · 2+ reb 30% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Lauren WalkerG | 11 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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