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Grand Canyon v High Point

Women's · Monday, November 23, 2026, 3:00 PM ET at Viejas Arena. Grand Canyon our rank 116 · 2-0; High Point our rank 133 · 4-0.

Who will win Grand Canyon vs High Point?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Grand Canyon a 57% chance to beat High Point, with a projected score of Grand Canyon 68, High Point 66.

To winGrand Canyon 57%High Point 43%
Projected score68–66Grand Canyon, then High Point
Margin2.2Grand Canyon · no line posted
Total134.0no line posted
First half32–31Grand Canyon ahead 53%
Grand Canyon by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20High Point by 30Model: Grand Canyon by 2.2Grand Canyon by 30by 10by 10High Point by 30Model: Grand Canyon by 2.2

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Grand Canyon
YiechF · 29 min13.47.31.415+ 39%
FozG · 26 min10.93.32.510+ 55%
SallmanC · 24 min10.97.51.510+ 55%
MannG · 22 min10.32.32.110+ 51%
High Point
FeldmanG · 33 min15.14.43.815+ 50%
WoodardF · 32 min11.47.81.910+ 58%
TippnerG · 31 min10.66.61.910+ 53%
GerdesF · 27 min9.34.61.310+ 43%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit her

Without Nyadieng Yiech: Grand Canyon 49%High Point 51%

The white mark is the call with her: Grand Canyon 57%.

PlayerPoints a game she addsGrand Canyon without herChangeProjected score
Grand Canyon
Nyadieng Yiech2.549%−867–67
Dasha Biriuk2.150%−767–67
T'yana Todd1.652%−567–67
Maya Foz1.353%−467–67
High Point
Juliann Woodard2.765%+869–65
Meredith Tippner1.261%+469–65
Taylor Feldman1.260%+369–65
Peyton Gerdes1.160%+369–65

Change is in Grand Canyon's win chance, in points. Scores read Grand Canyon, then High Point. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Grand Canyon 2-0WW

    1. Nov 9W 81-74vs OregonCovered +9.5 · Over 137.5
    2. Nov 4W 77-55vs Jackson St
    Last 2
    2–0, scoring 79.0 and allowing 64.5
    Against the spread, this season
    1–0
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 0 under

    High Point 4-0WWWW

    1. Nov 11W 67-54at East Carolina
    2. Nov 7W 78-71at Ball State
    3. Nov 4W 75-46vs Wingate
    4. Nov 2W 88-39vs Lees McRae
    Last 4
    4–0, scoring 77.0 and allowing 52.5

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    Grand CanyonHigh Point
    Points scored per 100 possessions94.5 123rd91.6 156th
    Points allowed per 10090.6 117th90.3 113th
    Possessions a game73.2 84th72.7 115th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)45.4% 180th46.7% 113th
    Opponents' shooting44.4% 116th44.0% 88th
    Turnovers, share of possessions23.2% 157th22.1% 72nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses33.1% 163rd33.0% 168th
    Free throws per shot0.26 9th0.20 263rd

    The widest gap: Grand Canyon's defense (117th) against High Point's offense (156th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Grand Canyon 32, High Point 31
    First-half margin
    Grand Canyon by 1.2
    First-half points, both teams
    63.5
    Projected second half
    Grand Canyon 36, High Point 35
    Second-half points, both teams
    70.5
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Grand Canyon, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 2 · 46.0 scored, 25.0 allowed
    High Point, first halves so far
    Led 4 of 4 · 38.0 scored, 22.5 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Grand Canyon

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Dasha BiriukG299.93.91.51.4
    10+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 43%
    Nyadieng YiechF2913.47.31.40.9
    15+ pts 39% · 7+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 55%
    T'yana ToddG269.92.21.41.0
    10+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 57%
    Maya FozG2610.93.32.50.7
    10+ pts 55% · 3+ ast 43% · 1+ threes 46%
    Jana SallmanC2410.97.51.50.0
    10+ pts 55% · 8+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 41%
    Chloe MannG2210.32.32.10.9
    10+ pts 51% · 2+ ast 58% · 1+ threes 54%
    Ashlynn ChlarsonC133.73.30.30.1
    5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 59%
    Ines ZouniaG123.71.91.00.5
    5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 36%

    High Point

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Taylor FeldmanG3315.14.43.81.1
    15+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 43% · 4+ ast 52%
    Brecken SnotherlyG327.15.11.50.4
    5+ pts 66% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 41%
    Juliann WoodardF3211.47.81.91.4
    10+ pts 58% · 8+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 54%
    Meredith TippnerG3110.66.61.90.5
    10+ pts 53% · 7+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 52%
    Peyton GerdesF279.34.61.30.9
    10+ pts 43% · 5+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 53%
    Rylee BessG237.02.01.41.3
    5+ pts 65% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 38%
    Khloe LemonG135.21.60.50.8
    5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 49%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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