Maryland 93, South Carolina 101
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 12:00 PM ET at Adidas Arena. Maryland AP 19, our rank 19 · 1-1; South Carolina AP 1, our rank 1 · 3-0.
Who won Maryland vs South Carolina?
Final: South Carolina 101, Maryland 93. Before tip-off the model gave South Carolina a 94% chance to win, with a projected margin of 21.0 points for South Carolina. Joyce Edwards scored 23 for South Carolina; Addi Mack had 35 for Maryland.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Joyce Edwards: Maryland 19%South Carolina 81%
The white mark is the call with her: South Carolina 94%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | South Carolina without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina | ||||
| Joyce Edwards | 8.6 | 81% | −13 | 81–93 |
| Jordan Lee | 6.8 | 85% | −9 | 80–94 |
| Agot Makeer | 6.6 | 85% | −9 | 80–94 |
| Tessa Johnson | 6.5 | 85% | −9 | 80–94 |
| Maryland | ||||
| Oluchi Okananwa | 6.6 | 98% | +4 | 73–101 |
| Addi Mack | 5.5 | 97% | +3 | 74–100 |
| Bri McDaniel | 4.4 | 97% | +3 | 74–100 |
| Nunu Agara | 4.3 | 97% | +3 | 74–100 |
Change is in South Carolina's win chance, in points. Scores read Maryland, then South Carolina. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Maryland
No games yet this season: this is its first.
South Carolina
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Maryland | South Carolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 112.4 13th | 121.4 1st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 81.9 33rd | 66.2 1st |
| Possessions a game | 74.3 29th | 73.3 76th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.2% 83rd | 48.2% 41st |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.9% 209th | 41.2% 14th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.1% 69th | 22.0% 65th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.6% 97th | 37.9% 17th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 257th | 0.25 22nd |
The widest gap: South Carolina's offense (1st) against Maryland's defense (33rd), of 363 teams.
First half
South Carolina led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 15.9 points and the total by 11.5.
- At halftime
- Maryland 33, South Carolina 61
- Projected halftime score
- Maryland 35, South Carolina 47
- First-half margin
- South Carolina by 12.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 82.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Maryland
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bri McDanielG | 35 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| Addi MackG | 33 | 35 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Oluchi OkananwaG | 26 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| Jordyn JacksonG | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Nunu AgaraF | 24 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Trinity JonesG | 24 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Lea BartelmeG | 17 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Rainey WelsonG | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oumou ThieroF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
South Carolina
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan LeeG | 36 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Joyce EdwardsF | 30 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Tessa JohnsonG | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| Ashlyn WatkinsF | 26 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| Agot MakeerG | 25 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Jerzy RobinsonG | 24 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Chloe KittsF | 19 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| Ayla McDowellG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alicia TournebizeF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |