Who won Niagara vs Fordham?
Final: Fordham 70, Niagara 40. Before tip-off the model gave Fordham a 97% chance to win, with a projected margin of 25.3 points for Fordham. Lakresha Edwards scored 17 for Fordham; Jalyn Moore had 10 for Niagara.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Olivia Kulyk: Niagara 4%Fordham 96%
The white mark is the call with her: Fordham 97%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Fordham without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fordham | ||||
| Olivia Kulyk | 1.5 | 96% | −1 | 65–89 |
| Ugne Sirtautaite | 1.0 | 96% | −1 | 65–90 |
Change is in Fordham's win chance, in points. Scores read Niagara, then Fordham. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Niagara
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Fordham
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Niagara | Fordham | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 66.9 363rd | 87.4 228th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 106.4 355th | 94.4 179th |
| Possessions a game | 74.1 43rd | 72.1 164th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 41.5% 350th | 47.6% 67th |
| Opponents' shooting | 48.2% 320th | 45.6% 181st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 27.4% 348th | 24.8% 272nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.3% 306th | 32.8% 176th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 193rd | 0.23 61st |
The widest gap: Fordham's defense (179th) against Niagara's offense (363rd), of 363 teams.
First half
Fordham led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 4.5 points and the total by 16.4.
- At halftime
- Niagara 19, Fordham 38
- Projected halftime score
- Niagara 29, Fordham 44
- First-half margin
- Fordham by 14.5
- First-half points, both teams
- 73.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Niagara
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalyn MooreG | 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Violeta RojasG | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jisca BilaG | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Jade CampbellF | 22 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Kimora BerryG | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenedie HarunaF | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Lily Deng-LualF | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Alejandra RiojaF | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Liem BastekarG | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Fordham
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carryn EasleyG | 33 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| Lakresha EdwardsG | 32 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Caitlyn MartinG | 25 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Anastasija VeljovicG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Ella AverillG | 22 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Precious OmosholaF | 21 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Zala SrotF | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Ugne SirtautaiteF | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Khloe MoyeG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |