Who won Queens vs Alabama?
Final: Alabama 92, Queens University 56. Before tip-off the model gave Alabama a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 43.1 points for Alabama. Kylie Torrence scored 16 for Alabama; Makayla Minshall had 18 for Queens.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Ace Austin: Queens <1%Alabama >99%
The white mark is the call with her: Alabama >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Alabama without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alabama | ||||
| Ace Austin | 4.1 | >99% | 0 | 60–98 |
| Aaliyah Roberson | 3.4 | >99% | 0 | 59–99 |
| Naomi Jones | 3.2 | >99% | 0 | 59–99 |
| Kylie Torrence | 2.2 | >99% | 0 | 59–99 |
Change is in Alabama's win chance, in points. Scores read Queens, then Alabama. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Queens
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Alabama
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Queens | Alabama | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 76.9 344th | 103.7 44th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.4 226th | 82.9 44th |
| Possessions a game | 73.7 57th | 73.3 76th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.4% 251st | 48.6% 30th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.9% 264th | 40.7% 9th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.6% 307th | 22.8% 122nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 30.5% 298th | 35.4% 61st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 252nd | 0.22 144th |
The widest gap: Alabama's defense (44th) against Queens's offense (344th), of 363 teams.
First half
Alabama led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 2.2 points and the total by 7.9.
- At halftime
- Queens 20, Alabama 47
- Projected halftime score
- Queens 25, Alabama 50
- First-half margin
- Alabama by 24.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 74.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Queens
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makayla MinshallG | 30 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Ashantay NobleG | 29 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Ryan DavisF | 23 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mia MooreG | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Ahmani KlabundeG | 21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Brenae Jones-GrantF | 20 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Breah FranksC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Paulina ReichenaurG | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nykira ArringtonF | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Alabama
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace AustinG | 30 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Amirah AndersonG | 27 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Tianna ChambersG | 24 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Aaliyah RobersonF | 21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Kylie TorrenceF | 19 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| Mykelle RichardsF | 19 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Alayna WestG | 18 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| Naomi JonesF | 14 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Leah BrooksG | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |