SE Louisiana 35, LSU 129
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Pete Maravich Assembly Center. SE Louisiana our rank 321 · 1-2; LSU AP 9, our rank 9 · 3-0.
Who won SE Louisiana vs LSU?
Final: LSU 129, SE Louisiana 35. Before tip-off the model gave LSU a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 51.7 points for LSU. ZaKiyah Johnson scored 33 for LSU; Natalie Huff had 12 for SE Louisiana.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without MiLaysia Fulwiley: SE Louisiana <1%LSU >99%
The white mark is the call with her: LSU >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | LSU without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | ||||
| MiLaysia Fulwiley | 6.9 | >99% | 0 | 63–108 |
| Mikaylah Williams | 6.2 | >99% | 0 | 62–108 |
| ZaKiyah Johnson | 6.1 | >99% | 0 | 62–108 |
| Jada Williams | 5.0 | >99% | 0 | 62–108 |
Change is in LSU's win chance, in points. Scores read SE Louisiana, then LSU. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
SE Louisiana
No games yet this season: this is its first.
LSU
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| SE Louisiana | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 85.5 256th | 114.8 8th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 105.1 349th | 78.0 11th |
| Possessions a game | 71.4 234th | 76.3 5th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.9% 148th | 51.3% 7th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.4% 361st | 40.0% 5th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 29.1% 356th | 20.4% 9th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.9% 173rd | 40.5% 2nd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 178th | 0.21 189th |
The widest gap: LSU's offense (8th) against SE Louisiana's defense (349th), of 363 teams.
First half
LSU led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 30.2 points and the total by 2.7.
- At halftime
- SE Louisiana 9, LSU 69
- Projected halftime score
- SE Louisiana 25, LSU 55
- First-half margin
- LSU by 29.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 80.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
SE Louisiana
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie HuffG | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Aliyah CollinsG | 26 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Micah CooperG | 24 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Susan FahnbullehG | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Lillian MerowC | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Eryn McKinzieG | 17 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Diana SzakolcziG | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Trinity Jackson-WilkinsF | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Deena HolmesF | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
LSU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZaKiyah JohnsonG | 28 | 33 | 13 | 3 | 2 |
| Jada WilliamsG | 28 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| MiLaysia FulwileyG | 25 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Mikaylah WilliamsG | 25 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Grace KnoxF | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Laila ReynoldsG | 23 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Anna MinaevaF | 16 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Lola LampleyG | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Chloe LarryG | 15 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 |