SE Louisiana at Texas Tech
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET at United Supermarkets Arena. SE Louisiana our rank 321 · 1-2; Texas Tech our rank 33 · 2-0.
Who will win SE Louisiana vs Texas Tech?
The model gives Texas Tech a >99% chance to beat SE Louisiana, with a projected score of Texas Tech 84, SE Louisiana 44.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | |||||
| HooksG · 25 min | 14.1 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 15+ 44% | |
| OkechukwuC · 22 min | 12.2 | 7.2 | 0.9 | 10+ 63% | |
| BristowG · 30 min | 11.9 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 10+ 61% | |
| ColeG · 28 min | 10.9 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 10+ 54% | |
| SE Louisiana | |||||
| CollinsG · 27 min | 9.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 10+ 47% | |
| HuffG · 26 min | 7.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5+ 68% | |
| McKinzieG · 25 min | 5.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 5+ 48% | |
| SzakolcziG · 18 min | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5+ 37% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jalynn Bristow: SE Louisiana 1%Texas Tech 99%
The white mark is the call with her: Texas Tech >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Texas Tech without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | ||||
| Jalynn Bristow | 7.0 | 99% | −1 | 48–80 |
| Destinee Hooks | 3.9 | >99% | 0 | 46–82 |
| Jalayah Ingram | 3.7 | >99% | 0 | 46–82 |
| Ambrosia Cole | 2.8 | >99% | 0 | 46–82 |
Change is in Texas Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read SE Louisiana, then Texas Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
SE Louisiana 1-2LWL
- Nov 12L 47-106at TCUDidn't cover +55.5 · Over 136.5
- Nov 5W 71-64vs Arkansas Monticello
- Nov 2L 35-129at LSU
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 51.0 and allowing 99.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Texas Tech 2-0WW
- Last 2
- 2–0, scoring 71.0 and allowing 32.5
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| SE Louisiana | Texas Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 85.5 256th | 99.9 72nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 105.1 349th | 75.6 7th |
| Possessions a game | 71.4 234th | 71.4 234th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 45.9% 148th | 43.9% 283rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.4% 361st | 39.6% 2nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 29.1% 356th | 24.0% 221st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.9% 173rd | 34.5% 98th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 178th | 0.26 11th |
The widest gap: Texas Tech's offense (72nd) against SE Louisiana's defense (349th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- SE Louisiana 19, Texas Tech 42
- First-half margin
- Texas Tech by 22.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 60.7
- Projected second half
- SE Louisiana 25, Texas Tech 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 67.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- SE Louisiana, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 22.7 scored, 50.3 allowed
- Texas Tech, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 36.5 scored, 13.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
SE Louisiana
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah CollinsG | 27 | 9.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Natalie HuffG | 26 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 37% | |||||
| Eryn McKinzieG | 25 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Micah CooperG | 25 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
| Susan FahnbullehG | 19 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 33% | |||||
| Diana SzakolcziG | 18 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Lillian MerowC | 18 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 3+ reb 49% | |||||
| Shaine ParkerF | 14 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 3+ reb 45% | |||||
Texas Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalynn BristowG | 30 | 11.9 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 7+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 57% | |||||
| Ambrosia ColeG | 28 | 10.9 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 5+ reb 49% · 3+ ast 53% | |||||
| Destinee HooksG | 25 | 14.1 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Tahys Da SilvaG | 24 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 4+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 42% | |||||
| Stephanie OkechukwuC | 22 | 12.2 | 7.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 7+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 23% | |||||
| Jalayah IngramG | 20 | 9.5 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 56% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Martina AnyangoF | 19 | 7.0 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
| Natalia JordanG | 12 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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