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SE Louisiana at Grambling

Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center. SE Louisiana our rank 321 · 1-2; Grambling our rank 333 · 0-3.

Who will win SE Louisiana vs Grambling?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Grambling a 54% chance to beat SE Louisiana, with a projected score of Grambling 66, SE Louisiana 65.

To winGrambling 54%SE Louisiana 46%
Projected score65–66SE Louisiana, then Grambling
Margin1.2Grambling · no line posted
Total130.8no line posted
First half31–31Grambling ahead 51%
SE Louisiana by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Grambling by 30Model: Grambling by 1.2SE Louisiana by 30by 10by 10Grambling by 30Model: Grambling by 1.2

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.7% of the time in 7,540 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Grambling
AndersonG · 26 min13.82.70.815+ 41%
WilkinsonG · 26 min10.13.71.310+ 49%
RossG · 22 min8.13.71.810+ 34%
HoldenG · 25 min6.83.12.15+ 64%
SE Louisiana
CollinsG · 32 min15.02.92.715+ 49%
HuffG · 29 min11.02.72.310+ 55%
McKinzieG · 29 min7.63.82.410+ 31%
FahnbullehG · 20 min5.52.01.15+ 52%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    SE Louisiana 1-2LWL

    1. Nov 12L 47-106at TCUDidn't cover +55.5 · Over 136.5
    2. Nov 5W 71-64vs Arkansas Monticello
    3. Nov 2L 35-129at LSU
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 51.0 and allowing 99.7
    Against the spread, this season
    0–1
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 0 under

    Grambling 0-3LLL

    1. Nov 8L 46-97at Wisconsin
    2. Nov 5L 51-56at McNeese
    3. Nov 2L 61-90at Iowa State
    Last 3
    0–3, scoring 52.7 and allowing 81.0

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 363
    SE LouisianaGrambling
    Points scored per 100 possessions85.5 256th74.2 357th
    Points allowed per 100105.1 349th96.0 218th
    Possessions a game71.4 234th75.1 11th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)45.9% 148th40.2% 359th
    Opponents' shooting50.4% 361st45.9% 204th
    Turnovers, share of possessions29.1% 356th25.4% 298th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.9% 173rd32.7% 187th
    Free throws per shot0.21 178th0.24 38th

    The widest gap: Grambling's defense (218th) against SE Louisiana's offense (256th), of 363 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    SE Louisiana 31, Grambling 31
    First-half margin
    Grambling by 0.7
    First-half points, both teams
    62.0
    Projected second half
    SE Louisiana 34, Grambling 35
    Second-half points, both teams
    68.8
    Tied at the half
    4%
    SE Louisiana, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 22.7 scored, 50.3 allowed
    Grambling, first halves so far
    Led 0 of 3 · 24.0 scored, 47.3 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    SE Louisiana

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Aliyah CollinsG3215.02.92.71.5
    15+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 48%
    Natalie HuffG2911.02.72.30.7
    10+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 46%
    Eryn McKinzieG297.63.82.40.5
    10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 50% · 3+ ast 42%
    Micah CooperG284.02.91.70.5
    5+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 49%
    Susan FahnbullehG205.52.01.10.6
    5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 40%
    Diana SzakolcziG185.52.31.10.6
    5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 44%
    Lillian MerowC173.73.40.30.0
    5+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 43%
    Shaine ParkerF133.43.10.40.1
    5+ pts 29% · 3+ reb 55%

    Grambling

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Angel WilkinsonG2610.13.71.31.8
    10+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 49%
    Princess AndersonG2613.82.70.82.1
    15+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 55%
    Madison HoldenG256.83.12.10.6
    5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 41%
    Da'Naya RossG228.13.71.80.8
    10+ pts 34% · 2+ ast 51% · 1+ threes 52%
    Mariam AlowonleF184.04.00.60.1
    5+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 52%
    Aeris MaconF154.34.00.50.1
    5+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 53%
    Johlana TatumG133.42.40.60.2
    5+ pts 29% · 3+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 18%
    Tylissa HendersonG132.21.90.50.3
    77% to play · 5+ pts 17% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 23%

    Missed the last game: Destiny Lewis (17 min a game).

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    More games on Wed, Nov 18

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    1. 5 PMprojected 64-70Syracuse at Harvard, women's: game page
    2. 6 PMprojected 70-68Georgia at Georgia Tech, women's: game page
    3. 7 PMprojected 71-63Iowa State at Northern Iowa, women's: game page
    4. 7 PMprojected 63-72Penn at Saint Joseph's, women's: game page
    5. 7 PMprojected 64-75Ole Miss at Ohio State, women's: game page
    6. 7:30 PMprojected 62-72St John's at Oklahoma St, women's: game page