Grambling at C Arkansas
Women's · Friday, November 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET at Farris Center. Grambling our rank 333 · 0-3; C Arkansas our rank 122 · 2-1.
Who will win Grambling vs C Arkansas?
The model gives Central Arkansas a 98% chance to beat Grambling, with a projected score of C Arkansas 74, Grambling 48.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Arkansas | |||||
| ReeseG · 28 min | 13.8 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 15+ 41% | |
| EllisonF · 17 min | 11.4 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 10+ 58% | |
| CookG · 27 min | 8.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 10+ 36% | |
| MierF · 24 min | 6.9 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 5+ 65% | |
| Grambling | |||||
| AndersonG · 24 min | 10.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 10+ 49% | |
| WilkinsonG · 25 min | 7.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 5+ 69% | |
| RossG · 21 min | 6.2 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 5+ 59% | |
| HoldenG · 24 min | 5.0 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 5+ 47% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Laylah Reese: Grambling 3%C Arkansas 97%
The white mark is the call with her: C Arkansas 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | C Arkansas without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Arkansas | ||||
| Laylah Reese | 2.0 | 97% | −1 | 49–73 |
| Jenna Cook | 1.6 | 97% | −1 | 49–73 |
| Paris Santacaterina | 1.4 | 97% | −1 | 49–73 |
| Tiani Ellison | 1.3 | 97% | −1 | 49–73 |
Change is in C Arkansas's win chance, in points. Scores read Grambling, then C Arkansas. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Grambling 0-3LLL
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 52.7 and allowing 81.0
C Arkansas 2-1WLW
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 67.3 and allowing 53.7
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Grambling | C Arkansas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 74.2 357th | 91.8 155th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 96.0 218th | 88.6 89th |
| Possessions a game | 75.1 11th | 70.8 296th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 40.2% 359th | 44.7% 230th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.9% 204th | 41.5% 16th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.4% 298th | 23.0% 138th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.7% 187th | 33.8% 133rd |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 38th | 0.20 246th |
The widest gap: C Arkansas's defense (89th) against Grambling's offense (357th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Grambling 22, C Arkansas 36
- First-half margin
- C Arkansas by 14.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 57.9
- Projected second half
- Grambling 27, C Arkansas 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 64.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Grambling, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 3 · 24.0 scored, 47.3 allowed
- C Arkansas, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 38.0 scored, 26.3 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Grambling
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel WilkinsonG | 25 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| Princess AndersonG | 24 | 10.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 54% · 2+ threes 43% | |||||
| Madison HoldenG | 24 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 40% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Da'Naya RossG | 21 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Mariam AlowonleF | 18 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 3+ reb 57% | |||||
| Aeris MaconF | 16 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 4+ reb 43% | |||||
| Johlana TatumG | 14 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 23% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 16% | |||||
| Azalia HooverG | 14 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 16% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
Missed the last game: Destiny Lewis (17 min a game).
C Arkansas
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laylah ReeseG | 28 | 13.8 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 7+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Jenna CookG | 27 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Paris SantacaterinaG | 26 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 5+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Avery MierF | 24 | 6.9 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Linda AmaningF | 22 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 6+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Faith McCallopG | 19 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Tiani EllisonF | 17 | 11.4 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 43% | |||||
| Alexis CoxG | 14 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 38% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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