Charleston So 71, South Florida 98
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:45 PM ET at Yuengling Center. Charleston So our rank 261 · 1-2; South Florida our rank 94 · 1-2.
Who won Charleston So vs South Florida?
Final: South Florida 98, Charleston Southern 71. Before tip-off the model gave South Florida a 90% chance to win, with a projected margin of 15.6 points for South Florida. Zayden High scored 20 for South Florida; Nicholas Errica had 13 for Charleston So.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Zayden High: Charleston So 14%South Florida 86%
The white mark is the call with him: South Florida 90%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | South Florida without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | ||||
| Zayden High | 2.4 | 86% | −4 | 65–78 |
| Sonny Wilson | 2.2 | 86% | −4 | 65–78 |
| Garrett Johnson | 1.7 | 87% | −3 | 65–78 |
| Josh Omojafo | 1.7 | 87% | −3 | 65–78 |
| Charleston So | ||||
| Mathok Majok | 0.6 | 91% | +1 | 63–80 |
Change is in South Florida's win chance, in points. Scores read Charleston So, then South Florida. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Charleston So
No games yet this season: this is its first.
South Florida
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Charleston So | South Florida | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.9 273rd | 112.6 69th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.7 248th | 105.4 120th |
| Possessions a game | 72.7 29th | 72.7 29th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.4% 117th | 52.6% 55th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.7% 127th | 50.0% 143rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 20.5% 352nd | 17.5% 114th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.7% 186th | 33.7% 74th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 146th | 0.25 218th |
The widest gap: South Florida's offense (69th) against Charleston So's defense (248th), of 365 teams.
First half
South Florida led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 1.4 points and the total by 8.9.
- At halftime
- Charleston So 33, South Florida 43
- Projected halftime score
- Charleston So 29, South Florida 38
- First-half margin
- South Florida by 8.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 67.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Charleston So
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony RuffoloG | 32 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Jackson CrawfordG | 31 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| DJ HubbardG | 27 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Nicholas ErricaG | 23 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Lase OlalereF | 22 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Jacob TaylorG | 22 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Jefferson McLambG | 20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Mathok MajokF | 10 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Tito DengF | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
South Florida
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny WilsonG | 31 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Chris Davis Jr.G | 26 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Josh OmojafoG | 26 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Mike JamesG | 24 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| Zayden HighF | 22 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrej ShoshkikjG | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Garrett JohnsonF | 19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Jake FeldhausF | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Tiefing DiawaraC | 11 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 |