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West Georgia at Charleston So

Saturday, November 14, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Buccaneer Fieldhouse. West Georgia our rank 322 · 0-3; Charleston So our rank 261 · 1-2.

Who will win West Georgia vs Charleston So?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Charleston Southern a 74% chance to beat West Georgia, with a projected score of Charleston So 78, West Georgia 70.

To winCharleston So 74%West Georgia 26%
Projected score70–78West Georgia, then Charleston So
Margin7.3Charleston So · no line posted
Total148.2no line posted
First half33–37Charleston So ahead 64%
West Georgia by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Charleston So by 40Model: Charleston So by 7.3West Georgia by 20Evenby 20Charleston So by 40Model: Charleston So by 7.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Charleston So
RuffoloG · 26 min13.04.33.215+ 37%
McLambG · 27 min11.53.41.710+ 58%
CrawfordG · 30 min10.63.63.410+ 53%
HubbardG · 29 min10.42.81.910+ 51%
West Georgia
LewlessG · 30 min11.62.83.410+ 59%
ChimePF · 26 min9.18.20.610+ 42%
SmithF · 26 min8.54.21.610+ 37%
DixonG · 25 min8.43.41.910+ 36%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Mathok Majok: West Georgia 28%Charleston So 72%

The white mark is the call with him: Charleston So 74%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsCharleston So without himChangeProjected score
Charleston So
Mathok Majok0.672%−271–77

Change is in Charleston So's win chance, in points. Scores read West Georgia, then Charleston So. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    West Georgia 0-3LLL

    1. Nov 11L 70-73vs UNC AshevilleDidn't cover −1.5 · Under 149.5
    2. Nov 5L 53-76at Loyola ChicagoDidn't cover +17.5 · Under 145.5
    3. Nov 2L 58-75at DePaul
    Last 3
    0–3, scoring 60.3 and allowing 74.7
    Against the spread, this season
    0–2
    Totals, this season
    0 over, 2 under

    Charleston So 1-2LWL

    1. Nov 10L 64-82at Wake ForestCovered +18.5 · Under 156.5
    2. Nov 5W 86-49vs Columbia International
    3. Nov 2L 71-98at South Florida
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 73.7 and allowing 76.3
    Against the spread, this season
    1–0
    Totals, this season
    0 over, 1 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    West GeorgiaCharleston So
    Points scored per 100 possessions93.8 346th99.9 273rd
    Points allowed per 100109.9 224th110.7 248th
    Possessions a game71.7 87th72.7 29th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)45.0% 362nd51.4% 117th
    Opponents' shooting50.5% 184th49.7% 127th
    Turnovers, share of possessions18.6% 250th20.5% 352nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses34.0% 58th31.7% 186th
    Free throws per shot0.22 352nd0.27 146th

    The widest gap: Charleston So's defense (248th) against West Georgia's offense (346th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    West Georgia 33, Charleston So 37
    First-half margin
    Charleston So by 4.0
    First-half points, both teams
    69.5
    Projected second half
    West Georgia 38, Charleston So 41
    Second-half points, both teams
    78.7
    Tied at the half
    4%
    West Georgia, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 30.7 scored, 36.0 allowed
    Charleston So, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 29.0 scored, 35.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    West Georgia

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Chas LewlessG3011.62.83.42.1
    10+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 55%
    Kenneth ChimePF269.18.20.60.0
    10+ pts 42% · 8+ reb 54%
    Micah SmithF268.54.21.60.6
    10+ pts 37% · 2+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 45%
    Juaquin DixonG258.43.41.91.3
    10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 52%
    Lou Hutchinson IIIG247.13.11.21.3
    5+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 37%
    David SimonF226.94.50.80.4
    5+ pts 63% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 34%
    Justin RedmondG186.82.11.31.2
    5+ pts 63% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 64%
    Amir WilliamsG131.81.60.40.4
    52% to play · 2+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 34%

    Missed the last game: Amir Williams (15 min a game).

    Charleston So

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Jackson CrawfordG3010.63.63.41.1
    10+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 46% · 4+ ast 43%
    Jacob TaylorG298.53.82.21.0
    10+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 59%
    DJ HubbardG2910.42.81.91.4
    10+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 54%
    Jefferson McLambG2711.53.41.72.3
    10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 48%
    Anthony RuffoloG2613.04.33.21.7
    15+ pts 37% · 4+ reb 58% · 2+ threes 46%
    Lase OlalereF239.56.91.50.0
    10+ pts 44% · 7+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 42%
    Nicholas ErricaG225.33.30.91.0
    5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 58%
    Mathok MajokF175.44.70.70.1
    5+ pts 49% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 16%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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