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West Georgia at Tennessee Tech

Tuesday, November 24, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Hooper Eblen Center. West Georgia our rank 322 · 0-3; Tennessee Tech our rank 244 · 2-2.

Who will win West Georgia vs Tennessee Tech?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Tennessee Tech a 76% chance to beat West Georgia, with a projected score of Tennessee Tech 80, West Georgia 72.

To winTennessee Tech 76%West Georgia 24%
Projected score72–80West Georgia, then Tennessee Tech
Margin8.0Tennessee Tech · no line posted
Total152.5no line posted
First half34–38Tennessee Tech ahead 66%
West Georgia by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Tennessee Tech by 40Model: Tennessee Tech by 8.0West Georgia by 20Evenby 20Tennessee Tech by 40Model: Tennessee Tech by 8.0

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Tennessee Tech
SandersF · 28 min14.76.32.015+ 47%
NewtonG · 24 min12.93.31.815+ 36%
GreenF · 20 min10.35.80.910+ 51%
MosqueraG · 22 min10.13.71.410+ 49%
West Georgia
LewlessG · 30 min11.82.93.510+ 61%
ChimePF · 26 min9.38.30.610+ 43%
SmithF · 26 min8.74.31.710+ 38%
DixonG · 25 min8.63.41.910+ 38%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Caleb Sanders: West Georgia 25%Tennessee Tech 75%

The white mark is the call with him: Tennessee Tech 76%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsTennessee Tech without himChangeProjected score
Tennessee Tech
Caleb Sanders0.675%−173–80

Change is in Tennessee Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read West Georgia, then Tennessee Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    West Georgia 0-3LLL

    1. Nov 11L 70-73vs UNC AshevilleDidn't cover −1.5 · Under 149.5
    2. Nov 5L 53-76at Loyola ChicagoDidn't cover +17.5 · Under 145.5
    3. Nov 2L 58-75at DePaul
    Last 3
    0–3, scoring 60.3 and allowing 74.7
    Against the spread, this season
    0–2
    Totals, this season
    0 over, 2 under

    Tennessee Tech 2-2LWWL

    1. Nov 12L 66-90at IndianaCovered +25.5 · Under 167.5
    2. Nov 8W 97-94vs Western KYCovered +3.5 · Over 164.5
    3. Nov 4W 117-70vs Blue Mountain Christian
    4. Nov 2L 88-106at Mississippi St
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 92.0 and allowing 90.0
    Against the spread, this season
    2–0
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 1 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    West GeorgiaTennessee Tech
    Points scored per 100 possessions93.8 346th103.8 186th
    Points allowed per 100109.9 224th113.4 315th
    Possessions a game71.7 87th72.4 39th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)45.0% 362nd51.6% 100th
    Opponents' shooting50.5% 184th53.4% 342nd
    Turnovers, share of possessions18.6% 250th17.9% 159th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses34.0% 58th32.5% 141st
    Free throws per shot0.22 352nd0.27 126th

    The widest gap: Tennessee Tech's offense (186th) against West Georgia's defense (224th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    West Georgia 34, Tennessee Tech 38
    First-half margin
    Tennessee Tech by 4.4
    First-half points, both teams
    71.6
    Projected second half
    West Georgia 39, Tennessee Tech 42
    Second-half points, both teams
    81.0
    Tied at the half
    4%
    West Georgia, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 30.7 scored, 36.0 allowed
    Tennessee Tech, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 47.8 scored, 41.5 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    West Georgia

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Chas LewlessG3011.82.93.52.1
    10+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 51% · 4+ ast 44%
    Kenneth ChimePF269.38.30.60.0
    10+ pts 43% · 8+ reb 55%
    Micah SmithF268.74.31.70.6
    10+ pts 38% · 2+ ast 47% · 1+ threes 45%
    Juaquin DixonG258.63.41.91.3
    10+ pts 38% · 4+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 53%
    Lou Hutchinson IIIG247.23.11.21.4
    5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 37%
    David SimonF227.04.60.80.4
    5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 34%
    Justin RedmondG186.92.11.31.2
    5+ pts 64% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 35%
    Amir WilliamsG131.91.60.40.4
    52% to play · 2+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 34%

    Missed the last game: Amir Williams (15 min a game).

    Tennessee Tech

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Caleb SandersF2814.76.32.01.0
    15+ pts 47% · 7+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 56%
    Cbo NewtonG2412.93.31.82.1
    15+ pts 36% · 2+ ast 50% · 2+ threes 55%
    Trent MosqueraG2210.13.71.42.5
    10+ pts 49% · 4+ reb 47% · 3+ threes 43%
    Ty OwensG225.62.04.40.5
    5+ pts 52% · 2+ reb 54% · 5+ ast 43%
    Caleb HollenbeckG219.22.21.02.4
    10+ pts 42% · 2+ reb 58% · 3+ threes 40%
    De'Ante GreenF2010.35.80.90.8
    10+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 51%
    Kamai SamuelsG198.62.52.11.1
    10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 42% · 2+ ast 58%
    Davante HackettG167.92.71.11.2
    10+ pts 33% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 64%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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