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Wofford at Charleston So

Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Buccaneer Fieldhouse. Wofford our rank 235 · 2-2; Charleston So our rank 261 · 1-2.

Who will win Wofford vs Charleston So?

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.

The model gives Charleston Southern a 55% chance to beat Wofford, with a projected score of Charleston So 79, Wofford 78.

To winCharleston So 55%Wofford 45%
Projected score78–79Wofford, then Charleston So
Margin1.3Charleston So · no line posted
Total157.5no line posted
First half37–37Charleston So ahead 51%
Wofford by 30by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20Charleston So by 30Model: Charleston So by 1.3Wofford by 30by 10by 10Charleston So by 30Model: Charleston So by 1.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Charleston So
RuffoloG · 27 min13.44.43.215+ 39%
McLambG · 28 min11.83.51.710+ 61%
CrawfordG · 30 min11.03.73.410+ 55%
HubbardG · 29 min10.82.91.910+ 54%
Wofford
DawkinsG · 25 min12.34.01.710+ 64%
WatleyG · 26 min9.53.61.510+ 44%
LoweG · 21 min9.23.12.010+ 42%
AriasG · 24 min8.74.31.910+ 39%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Mathok Majok: Wofford 47%Charleston So 53%

The white mark is the call with him: Charleston So 55%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsCharleston So without himChangeProjected score
Charleston So
Mathok Majok0.653%−278–79

Change is in Charleston So's win chance, in points. Scores read Wofford, then Charleston So. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Wofford 2-2LLWW

    1. Nov 11W 91-47vs Voorhees
    2. Nov 8W 100-67vs Allen
    3. Nov 6L 70-109at North CarolinaDidn't cover +21.5 · Over 156.5
    4. Nov 3L 59-90at Tennessee
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 80.0 and allowing 78.2
    Against the spread, this season
    0–1
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 0 under

    Charleston So 1-2LWL

    1. Nov 10L 64-82at Wake ForestCovered +18.5 · Under 156.5
    2. Nov 5W 86-49vs Columbia International
    3. Nov 2L 71-98at South Florida
    Last 3
    1–2, scoring 73.7 and allowing 76.3
    Against the spread, this season
    1–0
    Totals, this season
    0 over, 1 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    WoffordCharleston So
    Points scored per 100 possessions104.1 179th99.9 273rd
    Points allowed per 100112.9 310th110.7 248th
    Possessions a game71.5 103rd72.7 29th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)48.2% 327th51.4% 117th
    Opponents' shooting52.0% 284th49.7% 127th
    Turnovers, share of possessions17.3% 96th20.5% 352nd
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.1% 156th31.7% 186th
    Free throws per shot0.27 129th0.27 146th

    The widest gap: Wofford's offense (179th) against Charleston So's defense (248th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Wofford 37, Charleston So 37
    First-half margin
    Charleston So by 0.7
    First-half points, both teams
    73.9
    Projected second half
    Wofford 42, Charleston So 42
    Second-half points, both teams
    83.6
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Wofford, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 40.0 scored, 30.8 allowed
    Charleston So, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 3 · 29.0 scored, 35.0 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Wofford

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Chace WatleyG269.53.61.50.8
    10+ pts 44% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 51%
    Luke FlynnG257.63.71.61.5
    10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 46%
    Jyi DawkinsG2512.34.01.71.2
    10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 48%
    Chris AriasG248.74.31.91.8
    10+ pts 39% · 2+ ast 53% · 2+ threes 48%
    Cam LoweG219.23.12.01.8
    10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 49%
    Jacob DanielsG206.62.22.40.6
    5+ pts 61% · 2+ reb 58% · 3+ ast 42%
    Jhett CarterG187.72.61.20.8
    10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 53%
    Evan RamseyC165.24.90.80.1
    5+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 20%

    Charleston So

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Jackson CrawfordG3011.03.73.41.1
    10+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 48% · 4+ ast 43%
    Jacob TaylorG308.73.92.21.0
    10+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 50% · 1+ threes 60%
    DJ HubbardG2910.82.91.91.4
    10+ pts 54% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 55%
    Jefferson McLambG2811.83.51.72.3
    10+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 48%
    Anthony RuffoloG2713.44.43.21.7
    15+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 43% · 2+ threes 48%
    Lase OlalereF239.77.01.50.0
    10+ pts 46% · 7+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 42%
    Nicholas ErricaG225.43.30.91.0
    5+ pts 50% · 3+ reb 59% · 1+ threes 59%
    Mathok MajokF175.44.70.70.1
    5+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 16%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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