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Wofford at Queens

Saturday, November 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET at Curry Arena. Wofford our rank 235 · 2-2; Queens our rank 175 · 2-2.

Who will win Wofford vs Queens?

Logged before tip-off; never changed after it.

The model gives Queens University a 71% chance to beat Wofford, with a projected score of Queens 87, Wofford 81.

To winQueens 71%Wofford 29%
Projected score81–87Wofford, then Queens
Margin6.3Queens · no line posted
Total167.7no line posted
First half38–41Queens ahead 62%
Wofford by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Queens by 40Model: Queens by 6.3Wofford by 20Evenby 20Queens by 40Model: Queens by 6.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.

Players to watch

our projection, not a sportsbook's
PlayerPtsRebAstLast gamesChance of
Queens
MannG · 33 min18.75.13.520+ 42%
WatfordG · 30 min15.53.86.215+ 52%
ParkerF · 24 min13.45.21.915+ 39%
JonesG · 21 min11.62.92.110+ 59%
Wofford
DawkinsG · 24 min12.44.01.710+ 64%
WatleyG · 25 min9.63.61.510+ 45%
LoweG · 21 min9.33.12.010+ 43%
AriasG · 24 min8.84.31.910+ 39%

Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Avantae Parker: Wofford 33%Queens 67%

The white mark is the call with him: Queens 71%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsQueens without himChangeProjected score
Queens
Avantae Parker1.367%−481–86
Jordan Watford1.267%−481–86
Nasir Mann1.267%−481–86

Change is in Queens's win chance, in points. Scores read Wofford, then Queens. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Wofford 2-2LLWW

    1. Nov 11W 91-47vs Voorhees
    2. Nov 8W 100-67vs Allen
    3. Nov 6L 70-109at North CarolinaDidn't cover +21.5 · Over 156.5
    4. Nov 3L 59-90at Tennessee
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 80.0 and allowing 78.2
    Against the spread, this season
    0–1
    Totals, this season
    1 over, 0 under

    Queens 2-2WWLL

    1. Nov 10L 82-98at BYUCovered +28.5 · Under 181.5
    2. Nov 6L 68-118at Oklahoma StDidn't cover +18.5 · Over 178.5
    3. Nov 4W 96-95at LMUCovered +5.5 · Over 162.5
    4. Nov 2W 103-98vs Winthrop
    Last 4
    2–2, scoring 87.2 and allowing 102.2
    Against the spread, this season
    2–1
    Totals, this season
    2 over, 1 under

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    WoffordQueens
    Points scored per 100 possessions104.1 179th109.2 100th
    Points allowed per 100112.9 310th113.9 321st
    Possessions a game71.5 103rd73.1 18th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)48.2% 327th53.0% 41st
    Opponents' shooting52.0% 284th56.7% 363rd
    Turnovers, share of possessions17.3% 96th16.6% 35th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.1% 156th32.8% 116th
    Free throws per shot0.27 129th0.25 234th

    The widest gap: Queens's offense (100th) against Wofford's defense (310th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected from the full-game numbers

    Ahead at halftime

    Projected halftime score
    Wofford 38, Queens 41
    First-half margin
    Queens by 3.4
    First-half points, both teams
    78.7
    Projected second half
    Wofford 43, Queens 46
    Second-half points, both teams
    89.0
    Tied at the half
    4%
    Wofford, first halves so far
    Led 2 of 4 · 40.0 scored, 30.8 allowed
    Queens, first halves so far
    Led 1 of 4 · 44.5 scored, 49.2 allowed

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Player projections

    Each player's projected line for this game

    Wofford

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Chace WatleyG259.63.61.50.8
    10+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 51%
    Luke FlynnG257.73.71.61.5
    10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 45%
    Jyi DawkinsG2412.44.01.71.2
    10+ pts 64% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 48%
    Chris AriasG248.84.31.91.8
    10+ pts 39% · 2+ ast 53% · 2+ threes 49%
    Cam LoweG219.33.12.01.8
    10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 50%
    Jacob DanielsG206.72.22.40.6
    5+ pts 62% · 3+ ast 42% · 1+ threes 43%
    Jhett CarterG187.82.61.20.9
    10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 54%
    Evan RamseyC165.45.00.80.1
    5+ pts 50% · 5+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 20%

    Queens

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Nasir MannG3318.75.13.52.1
    20+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 55%
    Jordan WatfordG3015.53.86.20.3
    15+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 50% · 6+ ast 57%
    Isaiah HenryG2711.15.61.81.0
    10+ pts 56% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 51%
    Avantae ParkerF2413.45.21.90.4
    15+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 54%
    Rickey BallardF228.62.81.52.1
    10+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 57%
    Caleb JonesG2111.62.92.11.3
    10+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 60%
    Nicholas McLeanF196.53.20.81.0
    5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 59%
    Dante KearseG165.73.51.00.8
    5+ pts 53% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 53%

    Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

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