Who will win Queens vs LSU?
The model gives LSU a 98% chance to beat Queens University, with a projected score of LSU 92, Queens 69.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LSU | |||||
| DentG · 29 min | 13.3 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 15+ 39% | |
| Bashir Jr.G · 21 min | 13.1 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 15+ 38% | |
| RuzicC · 20 min | 12.1 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 10+ 63% | |
| DioubateF · 22 min | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 10+ 61% | |
 Queens | |||||
| MannG · 31 min | 14.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 15+ 45% | |
| WatfordG · 29 min | 12.0 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 10+ 62% | |
| ParkerF · 23 min | 10.8 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 10+ 54% | |
| JonesG · 20 min | 9.4 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 10+ 43% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Donovan Dent: Queens 5%LSU 95%
The white mark is the call with him: LSU 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | LSU without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | ||||
| Donovan Dent | 4.6 | 95% | −3 | 71–90 |
| Mo Dioubate | 3.5 | 96% | −2 | 71–90 |
| Skyy Clark | 3.5 | 96% | −2 | 71–90 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 2.8 | 97% | −1 | 70–91 |
| Queens | ||||
| Avantae Parker | 1.3 | 99% | +1 | 68–93 |
| Jordan Watford | 1.2 | 99% | +1 | 68–93 |
| Nasir Mann | 1.2 | 99% | +1 | 68–93 |
Change is in LSU's win chance, in points. Scores read Queens, then LSU. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Queens 2-2WWLL
- Nov 10L 82-98at BYUCovered +28.5 · Under 181.5
- Nov 6L 68-118at Oklahoma StDidn't cover +18.5 · Over 178.5
- Nov 4W 96-95at LMUCovered +5.5 · Over 162.5
- Nov 2W 103-98vs Winthrop
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 87.2 and allowing 102.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 1 under
LSU 3-0WWW
- Nov 9W 90-50vs Louisiana TechCovered −29.5 · Under 148.5
- Nov 6W 92-51vs Texas SouthernCovered −35.5 · Under 161.5
- Nov 3W 100-57vs LSU N Orleans
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 94.0 and allowing 52.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Queens | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 109.2 100th | 113.5 64th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 113.9 321st | 94.0 18th |
| Possessions a game | 73.1 18th | 71.7 87th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 53.0% 41st | 52.9% 46th |
| Opponents' shooting | 56.7% 363rd | 44.1% 1st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.6% 35th | 18.5% 240th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.8% 116th | 32.5% 138th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 234th | 0.25 239th |
The widest gap: LSU's offense (64th) against Queens's defense (321st), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Queens 31, LSU 44
- First-half margin
- LSU by 12.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 75.6
- Projected second half
- Queens 38, LSU 48
- Second-half points, both teams
- 85.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Queens, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 44.5 scored, 49.2 allowed
- LSU, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 49.0 scored, 21.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Queens
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasir MannG | 31 | 14.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 45% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Jordan WatfordG | 29 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 54% · 5+ ast 42% | |||||
| Isaiah HenryG | 26 | 8.7 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Avantae ParkerF | 23 | 10.8 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Rickey BallardF | 22 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 3+ reb 40% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Caleb JonesG | 20 | 9.4 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 41% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Nicholas McLeanF | 19 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Dante KearseG | 17 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
LSU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyy ClarkG | 29 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ ast 50% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Donovan DentG | 29 | 13.3 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 1.0 |
| 15+ pts 39% · 8+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Saliou NiangF | 24 | 11.1 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| 10+ pts 56% · 8+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 46% | |||||
| Mo DioubateF | 22 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 6+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Divine UgochukwuG | 21 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 42% | |||||
| Abdi Bashir Jr.G | 21 | 13.1 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 3.3 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 40% · 3+ threes 57% | |||||
| Michael RuzicC | 20 | 12.1 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 6+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Brice DessertC | 19 | 9.3 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 6+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 19% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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