Who won Winthrop vs Queens?
Final: Queens University 103, Winthrop 98. Before tip-off the model gave Queens University a 51% chance to win, with a projected margin of 0.2 points for Queens University. Jordan Watford scored 26 for Queens; Keshawn Fisher had 32 for Winthrop.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Avantae Parker: Winthrop 54%Queens 46%
The white mark is the call with him: Queens 51%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Queens without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Queens | ||||
| Avantae Parker | 1.3 | 46% | −5 | 73–72 |
| Jordan Watford | 1.2 | 46% | −5 | 73–72 |
| Nasir Mann | 1.2 | 46% | −5 | 73–72 |
Change is in Queens's win chance, in points. Scores read Winthrop, then Queens. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Winthrop
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Queens
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Winthrop | Queens | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.6 191st | 109.2 100th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 115.4 342nd | 113.9 321st |
| Possessions a game | 73.3 14th | 73.1 18th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.3% 73rd | 53.0% 41st |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.1% 287th | 56.7% 363rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.7% 262nd | 16.6% 35th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.0% 159th | 32.8% 116th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 189th | 0.25 234th |
The widest gap: Queens's offense (100th) against Winthrop's defense (342nd), of 365 teams.
First half
Queens led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 16.9 points and the total by 25.0.
- At halftime
- Winthrop 38, Queens 55
- Projected halftime score
- Winthrop 34, Queens 34
- First-half margin
- Queens by 0.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Winthrop
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spence SimsG | 35 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Keshawn FisherG | 35 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
| George NatsvlishviliF | 31 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| Anthony Smith IIIG | 30 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Seifeldin HendawyG | 27 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| Kyle MorganG | 27 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| Eesher Singh SaraiG | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Kaleb EvansG | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Joel CwikF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Queens
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasir MannG | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Jordan WatfordG | 32 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| Avantae ParkerF | 26 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Isaiah HenryG | 26 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Nicholas McLeanF | 25 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Caleb JonesG | 23 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Rickey BallardF | 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Corbin PackG | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Atakan BicerF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |