Jackson St at Winthrop
Saturday, November 14, 2026, 2:30 PM ET at Winthrop Coliseum. Jackson St our rank 331 · 1-3; Winthrop our rank 276 · 0-3.
Who will win Jackson St vs Winthrop?
The model gives Winthrop a 74% chance to beat Jackson State, with a projected score of Winthrop 83, Jackson St 76.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winthrop | |||||
| FisherG · 29 min | 20.6 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 20+ 53% | |
| SimsG · 31 min | 16.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 15+ 55% | |
| HendawyG · 29 min | 11.9 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 10+ 61% | |
| Smith IIIG · 32 min | 10.8 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 10+ 54% | |
| Jackson St | |||||
| WilliamsG · 32 min | 19.7 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 20+ 48% | |
| McMillianG · 34 min | 13.7 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 15+ 41% | |
| RuffinG · 26 min | 13.3 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 15+ 38% | |
| WilliamsF · 22 min | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 5+ 66% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Jackson St 1-3LWLL
- Nov 11L 80-84at Southern MissCovered +8.5 · Over 152.5
- Nov 9L 57-98at Mississippi StDidn't cover +24.5 · Over 153.5
- Nov 5W 87-85at TulaneCovered +12.5 · Over 152.5
- Nov 2L 42-76at Texas Tech
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 66.5 and allowing 85.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–1
- Totals, this season
- 3 over, 0 under
Winthrop 0-3LLL
- Nov 10L 79-88at Kennesaw StCovered +10.5 · Under 170.5
- Nov 7L 90-93vs North DakotaDidn't cover −8.5 · Over 160.5
- Nov 2L 98-103vs Queens
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 89.0 and allowing 94.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Jackson St | Winthrop | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.7 329th | 103.6 191st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 112.0 289th | 115.4 342nd |
| Possessions a game | 72.1 59th | 73.3 14th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.8% 234th | 52.3% 73rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.0% 219th | 52.1% 287th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.0% 285th | 18.7% 262nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.8% 329th | 32.0% 159th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 338th | 0.26 189th |
The widest gap: Winthrop's offense (191st) against Jackson St's defense (289th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Jackson St 35, Winthrop 39
- First-half margin
- Winthrop by 3.9
- First-half points, both teams
- 74.8
- Projected second half
- Jackson St 41, Winthrop 44
- Second-half points, both teams
- 84.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Jackson St, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 31.2 scored, 40.8 allowed
- Winthrop, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 38.7 scored, 43.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Jackson St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian McMillianG | 34 | 13.7 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 5+ reb 50% · 3+ threes 46% | |||||
| Mike WilliamsG | 32 | 19.7 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 20+ pts 48% · 4+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Daeshun RuffinG | 26 | 13.3 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| 49% to play · 15+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 56% · 5+ ast 49% | |||||
| Delyle WilliamsG | 25 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Nikk WilliamsF | 22 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Chip BruntG | 20 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| DJ DavisG | 19 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
| AT ManyuonG | 16 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 2+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
Missed the last game: Daeshun Ruffin (28 min a game).
Winthrop
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith IIIG | 32 | 10.8 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 4+ ast 54% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Spence SimsG | 31 | 16.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 3.6 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 2+ ast 51% · 4+ threes 44% | |||||
| Keshawn FisherG | 29 | 20.6 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 20+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 56% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Seifeldin HendawyG | 29 | 11.9 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 8+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| George NatsvlishviliF | 22 | 10.6 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 6+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Kyle MorganG | 21 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Eesher Singh SaraiG | 11 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 29% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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