Chattanooga at Winthrop
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Winthrop Coliseum. Chattanooga our rank 182 · 1-2; Winthrop our rank 276 · 0-3.
Who will win Chattanooga vs Winthrop?
The model gives Chattanooga a 58% chance to beat Winthrop, with a projected score of Chattanooga 84, Winthrop 82.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga | |||||
| McDowell-WhiteG · 29 min | 16.5 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 15+ 58% | |
| AnigbataG · 25 min | 12.2 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 10+ 63% | |
| HamptonG · 25 min | 12.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 10+ 62% | |
| BleshoyG · 26 min | 10.4 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 10+ 51% | |
| Winthrop | |||||
| FisherG · 30 min | 20.6 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 20+ 53% | |
| SimsG · 31 min | 16.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 15+ 55% | |
| HendawyG · 29 min | 11.9 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 10+ 61% | |
| Smith IIIG · 32 min | 10.8 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 10+ 54% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kobe McDowell-White: Chattanooga 55%Winthrop 45%
The white mark is the call with him: Chattanooga 58%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Chattanooga without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga | ||||
| Kobe McDowell-White | 0.6 | 55% | −3 | 84–82 |
| Zach Bleshoy | 0.6 | 56% | −2 | 84–82 |
| Lenny Anigbata | 0.5 | 56% | −2 | 84–82 |
Change is in Chattanooga's win chance, in points. Scores read Chattanooga, then Winthrop. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Chattanooga 1-2LLW
- Nov 9W 97-67vs Covenant
- Nov 5L 93-97at Penn StateCovered +12.5 · Over 159.5
- Nov 2L 70-84at Louisville
- Last 3
- 1–2, scoring 86.7 and allowing 82.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Winthrop 0-3LLL
- Nov 10L 79-88at Kennesaw StCovered +10.5 · Under 170.5
- Nov 7L 90-93vs North DakotaDidn't cover −8.5 · Over 160.5
- Nov 2L 98-103vs Queens
- Last 3
- 0–3, scoring 89.0 and allowing 94.7
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Chattanooga | Winthrop | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 107.3 120th | 103.6 191st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 112.6 300th | 115.4 342nd |
| Possessions a game | 71.1 143rd | 73.3 14th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 54.1% 16th | 52.3% 73rd |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.2% 88th | 52.1% 287th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.5% 240th | 18.7% 262nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.5% 85th | 32.0% 159th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 225th | 0.26 189th |
The widest gap: Chattanooga's offense (120th) against Winthrop's defense (342nd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Chattanooga 40, Winthrop 38
- First-half margin
- Chattanooga by 1.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 78.0
- Projected second half
- Chattanooga 45, Winthrop 44
- Second-half points, both teams
- 88.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Chattanooga, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 39.3 scored, 44.0 allowed
- Winthrop, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 38.7 scored, 43.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Chattanooga
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe McDowell-WhiteG | 29 | 16.5 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| 15+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 56% · 5+ ast 56% | |||||
| Zach BleshoyG | 26 | 10.4 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 56% · 4+ ast 41% | |||||
| Matt HamptonG | 25 | 12.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 57% | |||||
| Lenny AnigbataG | 25 | 12.2 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 3+ ast 44% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Yonatan LevyF | 22 | 9.1 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 47% | |||||
| Christian MatosG | 20 | 9.1 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Sean CusanoG | 12 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 34% · 3+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 27% | |||||
Winthrop
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith IIIG | 32 | 10.8 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 4+ ast 52% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Spence SimsG | 31 | 16.0 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| 15+ pts 55% · 2+ ast 49% · 4+ threes 45% | |||||
| Keshawn FisherG | 30 | 20.6 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| 20+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 53% | |||||
| Seifeldin HendawyG | 29 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 8+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| George NatsvlishviliF | 22 | 10.5 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 6+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Kyle MorganG | 21 | 8.9 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 45% · 2+ threes 41% | |||||
| Eesher Singh SaraiG | 10 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 23% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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