E Michigan 71, Coastal 70
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at The HTC Center. E Michigan our rank 223 · 2-1; Coastal our rank 259 · 2-2.
Who won E Michigan vs Coastal?
Final: Eastern Michigan 71, Coastal Carolina 70. Before tip-off the model gave Eastern Michigan a 46% chance to win — an upset, with a projected margin of 1.4 points for Coastal Carolina. Mohammad Habhab scored 34 for E Michigan; Trey Perry had 20 for Coastal.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Mohammad Habhab: E Michigan 41%Coastal 59%
The white mark is the call with him: Coastal 54%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Coastal without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Michigan | ||||
| Mohammad Habhab | 1.0 | 59% | +5 | 65–68 |
| Kilian Brockhoff | 0.7 | 58% | +4 | 66–68 |
Change is in Coastal's win chance, in points. Scores read E Michigan, then Coastal. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
E Michigan
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Coastal
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| E Michigan | Coastal | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.7 253rd | 98.7 292nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.3 182nd | 109.3 204th |
| Possessions a game | 70.2 245th | 70.9 171st |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.6% 308th | 47.3% 348th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.1% 150th | 51.4% 248th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.6% 244th | 18.8% 269th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.5% 81st | 30.4% 264th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.29 52nd | 0.22 350th |
The widest gap: E Michigan's defense (182nd) against Coastal's offense (292nd), of 365 teams.
First half
Coastal led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 2.3 points and the total by 8.5.
- At halftime
- E Michigan 34, Coastal 37
- Projected halftime score
- E Michigan 31, Coastal 32
- First-half margin
- Coastal by 0.7
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
E Michigan
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden MartinG | 34 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Mohammad HabhabF | 34 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Kaden JohnsonF | 28 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Jabri FitzpatrickG | 26 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Braelon GreenG | 25 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Kilian BrockhoffF | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Gregory Lawson IIG | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| DaCory PorterG | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aviv AronovG | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Coastal
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey PerryG | 32 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Jaylen CrossG | 27 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| Darius Washington IIIG | 27 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Tristan ThompsonG | 26 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Caleb MiddletonC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick GreenF | 17 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Drew FuquayF | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| DaJohn CraigG | 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Jordan BuzzardF | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |