Detroit Mercy at E Michigan
Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 6:30 PM ET at Gervin GameAbove Center. Detroit Mercy our rank 327 · 0-2; E Michigan our rank 223 · 2-1.
Who will win Detroit Mercy vs E Michigan?
The model gives Eastern Michigan a 80% chance to beat Detroit Mercy, with a projected score of E Michigan 78, Detroit Mercy 68.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Michigan | |||||
| HabhabF · 26 min | 17.4 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 15+ 63% | |
| RichardsG · 21 min | 11.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 10+ 59% | |
| MartinG · 22 min | 10.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 10+ 52% | |
| BrockhoffF · 20 min | 10.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 10+ 51% | |
| Detroit Mercy | |||||
| SprattG · 26 min | 9.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 10+ 42% | |
| CarterG · 18 min | 7.3 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 5+ 67% | |
| MaidenF · 23 min | 5.9 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 5+ 54% | |
| StoneG · 23 min | 5.8 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 5+ 54% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Mohammad Habhab: Detroit Mercy 23%E Michigan 77%
The white mark is the call with him: E Michigan 80%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | E Michigan without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Michigan | ||||
| Mohammad Habhab | 1.0 | 77% | −3 | 69–77 |
| Kilian Brockhoff | 0.7 | 78% | −2 | 69–77 |
Change is in E Michigan's win chance, in points. Scores read Detroit Mercy, then E Michigan. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Detroit Mercy 0-2LL
- Nov 10L 55-100at XavierDidn't cover +35.5 · Under 157.5
- Nov 6L 32-93at MarquetteDidn't cover +32.5 · Under 154.5
- Last 2
- 0–2, scoring 43.5 and allowing 96.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
E Michigan 2-1WLW
- Nov 11W 108-44vs Great Lakes Christian
- Nov 6L 53-76at XavierCovered +23.5 · Under 151.5
- Nov 2W 71-70at Coastal
- Last 3
- 2–1, scoring 77.3 and allowing 63.3
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Detroit Mercy | E Michigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 96.0 324th | 100.7 253rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 112.2 293rd | 108.3 182nd |
| Possessions a game | 71.9 73rd | 70.2 245th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 46.1% 359th | 48.6% 308th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.4% 251st | 50.1% 150th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.9% 279th | 18.6% 244th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.3% 345th | 33.5% 81st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 339th | 0.29 52nd |
The widest gap: E Michigan's defense (182nd) against Detroit Mercy's offense (324th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Detroit Mercy 32, E Michigan 37
- First-half margin
- E Michigan by 5.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 68.4
- Projected second half
- Detroit Mercy 37, E Michigan 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 77.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Detroit Mercy, first halves so far
- Led 0 of 2 · 19.5 scored, 42.0 allowed
- E Michigan, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 3 · 38.3 scored, 30.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Detroit Mercy
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler SprattG | 26 | 9.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ threes 61% | |||||
| Xavier Istomin-MonroeC | 25 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 5+ reb 52% | |||||
| Lance StoneG | 23 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 3+ ast 44% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| London MaidenF | 23 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 54% · 4+ reb 50% | |||||
| Ayden CarterG | 18 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 4+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Jordan BriggsG | 15 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 2+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 39% | |||||
| Greg Grays Jr.G | 15 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Dante FavorF | 11 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 60% · 1+ threes 16% | |||||
E Michigan
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad HabhabF | 26 | 17.4 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| 15+ pts 63% · 7+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 51% | |||||
| Braelon GreenG | 25 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 3+ reb 54% · 4+ ast 45% | |||||
| Jabri FitzpatrickG | 23 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 2+ ast 57% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Jaiden MartinG | 22 | 10.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 45% | |||||
| Kaden JohnsonF | 22 | 7.7 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 5+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Emanuel RichardsG | 21 | 11.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| 10+ pts 59% · 4+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 63% | |||||
| Kilian BrockhoffF | 20 | 10.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 3+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 43% | |||||
| Gregory Lawson IIG | 16 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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