Kent State 75, Louisiana Tech 85
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Thomas Assembly Center. Kent State our rank 178 · 1-2; Louisiana Tech our rank 210 · 2-1.
Who won Kent State vs Louisiana Tech?
Final: Louisiana Tech 85, Kent State 75. Before tip-off the model gave Louisiana Tech a 57% chance to win, with a projected margin of 2.3 points for Louisiana Tech. Braylon Wenger scored 28 for Louisiana Tech; Christian Henry had 17 for Kent State.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Chansey Willis Jr.: Kent State 40%Louisiana Tech 60%
The white mark is the call with him: Louisiana Tech 57%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Louisiana Tech without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State | ||||
| Chansey Willis Jr. | 0.9 | 60% | +3 | 65–68 |
| Jamal Sumlin | 0.7 | 60% | +3 | 65–68 |
| Godslove Nwabude | 0.7 | 60% | +3 | 65–68 |
| Christian Henry | 0.7 | 60% | +3 | 65–68 |
Change is in Louisiana Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read Kent State, then Louisiana Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Kent State
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Louisiana Tech
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Kent State | Louisiana Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 106.9 127th | 101.7 233rd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.8 286th | 108.6 188th |
| Possessions a game | 72.0 63rd | 69.3 322nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 49.1% 284th | 49.9% 228th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.3% 303rd | 50.7% 201st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 16.3% 16th | 19.5% 317th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 36.5% 3rd | 33.1% 99th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 192nd | 0.27 149th |
The widest gap: Kent State's offense (127th) against Louisiana Tech's defense (188th), of 365 teams.
First half
Louisiana Tech led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 7.7 points and the total by 10.3.
- At halftime
- Kent State 32, Louisiana Tech 41
- Projected halftime score
- Kent State 31, Louisiana Tech 32
- First-half margin
- Louisiana Tech by 1.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Kent State
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dhani MillerG | 36 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Latif DioufF | 30 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| Jamal SumlinG | 27 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Christian HenryG | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Chansey Willis Jr.G | 20 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Quinn WoidkeG | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Landon VanderwarkerF | 16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron WilliamsF | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Brenden MossG | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Louisiana Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braylon WengerF | 36 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Jaylen FennerG | 32 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Jay TylerG | 29 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| Kyran TilleyG | 26 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Ethan BlackmonF | 21 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| Adam BoydG | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Iyran Francis Jr.F | 19 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Deven BatesG | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Trashaun Combs-PierceNA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |