Lindenwood 59, TCU 98
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Schollmaier Arena. Lindenwood our rank 296 · 2-2; TCU our rank 44 · 3-0.
Who won Lindenwood vs TCU?
Final: TCU 98, Lindenwood 59. Before tip-off the model gave TCU a 99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 29.9 points for TCU. DJ Thomas scored 19 for TCU; Malek Archie had 18 for Lindenwood.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Xavier Edmonds: Lindenwood 2%TCU 98%
The white mark is the call with him: TCU 99%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | TCU without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | ||||
| Xavier Edmonds | 3.7 | 98% | −1 | 55–82 |
| Micah Robinson | 3.6 | 98% | −1 | 55–82 |
| Brock Harding | 3.1 | 99% | 0 | 55–82 |
| Tanner Toolson | 2.8 | 99% | 0 | 55–82 |
Change is in TCU's win chance, in points. Scores read Lindenwood, then TCU. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Lindenwood
No games yet this season: this is its first.
TCU
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lindenwood | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 98.4 299th | 114.3 58th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.4 276th | 97.7 38th |
| Possessions a game | 73.2 16th | 71.2 133rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.9% 291st | 49.3% 271st |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.5% 259th | 50.9% 212th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.3% 305th | 17.0% 60th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.2% 95th | 34.8% 26th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 293rd | 0.32 9th |
The widest gap: TCU's defense (38th) against Lindenwood's offense (299th), of 365 teams.
First half
TCU led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 3.6 points and the total by 29.7.
- At halftime
- Lindenwood 37, TCU 57
- Projected halftime score
- Lindenwood 24, TCU 40
- First-half margin
- TCU by 16.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.3
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Lindenwood
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier SpencerG | 30 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Malek ArchieG | 27 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| Noah TaitzG | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Marsai MasonF | 23 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Dom ClayG | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Matar DiopF | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Derek RollinsF | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Shamiere GreenG | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Parker SeithelC | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
TCU
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent LincolnG | 29 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| DJ ThomasF | 28 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Tanner ToolsonG | 27 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Brock HardingG | 26 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Micah RobinsonG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Ryan HuntF | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Ricards AizpursG | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Xavier EdmondsF | 13 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Luke BamgboyeF | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |