Lindenwood at Omaha
Friday, November 13, 2026, 8:45 PM ET at Baxter Arena. Lindenwood our rank 296 · 2-2; Omaha our rank 321 · 2-2.
Who will win Lindenwood vs Omaha?
The model gives Lindenwood a 52% chance to beat Omaha, with a projected score of Lindenwood 77, Omaha 76. The spread is Omaha −4.5, with an over/under of 155.5. The model makes it Lindenwood by 0.5, 5.0 points toward Lindenwood, and projects 154 total points.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindenwood | |||||
| GreenG · 20 min | 10.9 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 10+ 55% | |
| ArchieG · 21 min | 9.3 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 10+ 43% | |
| SpencerG · 26 min | 9.1 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 10+ 41% | |
| DioufF · 19 min | 8.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 10+ 39% | |
| Omaha | |||||
| ThompsonG · 28 min | 11.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 10+ 58% | |
| CrosbyG · 27 min | 10.7 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 10+ 53% | |
| Jordan Jr.G · 22 min | 8.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 10+ 40% | |
| StubblefieldG · 31 min | 8.3 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 10+ 36% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
Model against the line
| Spread | Over/under | |
|---|---|---|
| Line | Omaha −4.5 | 155.5 |
| Model | Lindenwood −0.5 | 153.5 |
| Gap | 5 toward Lindenwood | 2 lower |
A gap is a difference of opinion, not a tip. When the model and the line have been 4 or more points apart, the model's side has covered 48.4% of 702 games. This season the model's side has covered 163 of 337 spreads (48%); over 11,507 games in the last two seasons it covered 50.6%. It takes about 52.4% to break even at standard odds. Scorecard
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Lindenwood 2-2LWWL
- Nov 11L 60-94at NebraskaCovered +34.5 · Over 152.5
- Nov 7W 115-44vs East West
- Nov 5W 120-46vs Central Bible
- Nov 2L 59-98at TCU
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 88.5 and allowing 70.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 0 under
Omaha 2-2WLLW
- Nov 10W 78-66vs York (NE)
- Nov 7L 56-90at Utah StateDidn't cover +29.5 · Under 154.5
- Nov 6L 67-108at BYUDidn't cover +32.5 · Over 162.5
- Nov 2W 73-65vs Mid America Christian
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 68.5 and allowing 82.2
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lindenwood | Omaha | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 98.4 299th | 98.3 301st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.4 276th | 114.3 328th |
| Possessions a game | 73.2 16th | 70.8 184th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.9% 291st | 48.6% 309th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.5% 259th | 53.4% 343rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.3% 305th | 18.1% 182nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.2% 95th | 31.2% 218th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.24 293rd | 0.24 296th |
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Lindenwood 36, Omaha 36
- First-half margin
- Lindenwood by 0.3
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.0
- Projected second half
- Lindenwood 41, Omaha 41
- Second-half points, both teams
- 81.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Lindenwood, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 48.8 scored, 39.2 allowed
- Omaha, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 30.0 scored, 40.8 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Lindenwood
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier SpencerG | 26 | 9.1 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 59% · 3+ ast 58% | |||||
| Malek ArchieG | 21 | 9.3 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 43% · 4+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 59% | |||||
| Shamiere GreenG | 20 | 10.9 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Marsai MasonF | 19 | 7.8 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 6+ reb 45% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Makhan DioufF | 19 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 5+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Dom ClayG | 18 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 68% · 3+ reb 44% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Matar DiopF | 18 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 21% | |||||
| Noah TaitzG | 18 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| 5+ pts 57% · 2+ reb 46% · 2+ threes 37% | |||||
Omaha
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant StubblefieldG | 31 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 49% | |||||
| Deke ThompsonG | 28 | 11.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 58% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 56% | |||||
| Cahmai CrosbyG | 27 | 10.7 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| 49% to play · 10+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Isaac OndekaneC | 26 | 6.2 | 6.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 58% · 7+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 15% | |||||
| Justin BolisF | 22 | 7.9 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 5+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Jonny Jordan Jr.G | 22 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 3+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Dace PleasantF | 18 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 4+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Heri BukingaC | 11 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 3+ reb 43% | |||||
Missed the last game: Cahmai Crosby (30 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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