Lipscomb 79, SE Missouri 86
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Show Me Center. Lipscomb our rank 151 · 2-2; SE Missouri our rank 191 · 2-1.
Who won Lipscomb vs SE Missouri?
Final: Southeast Missouri State 86, Lipscomb 79. Before tip-off the model gave Southeast Missouri State a 51% chance to win, with a projected margin of 0.2 points for Southeast Missouri State. Drew Cooper scored 14 for SE Missouri; Takai Simpkins had 22 for Lipscomb.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Marqueas Bell: Lipscomb 53%SE Missouri 47%
The white mark is the call with him: SE Missouri 51%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | SE Missouri without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE Missouri | ||||
| Marqueas Bell | 0.9 | 47% | −4 | 68–68 |
| Darrion Sutton | 0.9 | 47% | −4 | 68–68 |
| Lipscomb | ||||
| Takai Simpkins | 1.5 | 57% | +6 | 67–69 |
| Mateo Esmeraldo | 1.3 | 56% | +5 | 67–69 |
| Devyn Martin | 0.5 | 53% | +2 | 68–68 |
Change is in SE Missouri's win chance, in points. Scores read Lipscomb, then SE Missouri. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Lipscomb
No games yet this season: this is its first.
SE Missouri
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lipscomb | SE Missouri | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.3 155th | 99.9 275th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.1 173rd | 106.2 133rd |
| Possessions a game | 71.9 73rd | 72.0 63rd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.7% 168th | 51.2% 128th |
| Opponents' shooting | 51.0% 220th | 50.2% 159th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.3% 206th | 17.7% 137th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.6% 333rd | 29.2% 318th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 111th | 0.24 279th |
The widest gap: Lipscomb's defense (173rd) against SE Missouri's offense (275th), of 365 teams.
First half
Lipscomb led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 2.1 points and the total by 18.2.
- At halftime
- Lipscomb 42, SE Missouri 40
- Projected halftime score
- Lipscomb 32, SE Missouri 32
- First-half margin
- SE Missouri by 0.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 63.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Lipscomb
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo EsmeraldoG | 35 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Takai SimpkinsG | 34 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Titas SargiunasF | 31 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Hugo TidareG | 21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Kennedy OkparaF | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Devyn MartinF | 17 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| Truman ByrneF | 15 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| Luke JackF | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh ScottF | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
SE Missouri
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marqueas BellG | 26 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Fontaine Williams Jr.G | 25 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Alonzo Clawson-SmithG | 22 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Darrion SuttonF | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Drew CooperF | 20 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Landren BlockerG | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| PJ FarmerG | 19 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Marcus EavesG | 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Axton PerryF | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |