Who won New Haven vs Syracuse?
Final: Syracuse 74, New Haven 58. Before tip-off the model gave Syracuse a 98% chance to win, with a projected margin of 24.8 points for Syracuse. Kiyan Anthony scored 17 for Syracuse; Teshaun Steele had 18 for New Haven.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 95.4% of the time in 11,767 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Gavin Doty: New Haven 4%Syracuse 96%
The white mark is the call with him: Syracuse 98%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Syracuse without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Syracuse | ||||
| Gavin Doty | 3.2 | 96% | −2 | 55–76 |
| Garwey Dual | 2.6 | 96% | −2 | 54–77 |
| Luke Wilson | 2.5 | 97% | −1 | 54–77 |
| Sadiq White Jr. | 2.5 | 97% | −1 | 54–77 |
Change is in Syracuse's win chance, in points. Scores read New Haven, then Syracuse. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
New Haven
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Syracuse
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| New Haven | Syracuse | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 94.8 339th | 116.2 35th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 110.2 232nd | 100.7 68th |
| Possessions a game | 68.2 360th | 70.4 222nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 50.4% 186th | 53.1% 34th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.7% 25th | 49.1% 72nd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.9% 282nd | 16.4% 23rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.5% 336th | 31.4% 206th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.23 311th | 0.28 76th |
The widest gap: Syracuse's defense (68th) against New Haven's offense (339th), of 365 teams.
First half
Syracuse led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 8.4 points and the total by 5.4.
- At halftime
- New Haven 17, Syracuse 39
- Projected halftime score
- New Haven 24, Syracuse 38
- First-half margin
- Syracuse by 13.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
New Haven
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teshaun SteeleF | 32 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Zoumana TraoreF | 29 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Tristan BurthC | 26 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Danny Young Jr.G | 25 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Faquir MosleyG | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tim WalkerG | 18 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Brad BallingerF | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Aidan LosiewiczG | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Moussa CamaraC | 11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Syracuse
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin DotyG | 34 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 1 |
| Sadiq White Jr.F | 25 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Kiyan AnthonyG | 25 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Luke WilsonC | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Garwey DualG | 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Mark MoranoF | 22 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Ryan MoeschG | 17 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Abdramane SibyC | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Amarri MonroeF | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |