Northeastern 85, Boston U 93
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Case Gym. Northeastern our rank 197 · 1-2; Boston U our rank 228 · 3-1.
Who won Northeastern vs Boston U?
Final: Boston University 93, Northeastern 85. Before tip-off the model gave Boston University a 57% chance to win, with a projected margin of 2.2 points for Boston University. Azmar Abdullah scored 21 for Boston U; Rashad King had 21 for Northeastern.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Michelangelo Oberti: Northeastern 45%Boston U 55%
The white mark is the call with him: Boston U 57%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Boston U without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston U | ||||
| Michelangelo Oberti | 0.8 | 55% | −2 | 68–69 |
| Northeastern | ||||
| Rashad King | 1.5 | 62% | +5 | 67–70 |
| Ryan Williams | 0.7 | 59% | +2 | 67–70 |
Change is in Boston U's win chance, in points. Scores read Northeastern, then Boston U. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Northeastern
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Boston U
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Northeastern | Boston U | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.8 166th | 104.7 169th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 111.2 267th | 112.7 303rd |
| Possessions a game | 72.1 59th | 68.9 337th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 52.0% 86th | 52.0% 87th |
| Opponents' shooting | 52.1% 295th | 49.9% 139th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 18.0% 175th | 19.3% 309th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.1% 348th | 34.2% 47th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.28 104th | 0.30 41st |
The widest gap: Northeastern's offense (166th) against Boston U's defense (303rd), of 365 teams.
First half
Boston U led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 8.8 points and the total by 17.8.
- At halftime
- Northeastern 36, Boston U 46
- Projected halftime score
- Northeastern 31, Boston U 33
- First-half margin
- Boston U by 1.2
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.2
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Northeastern
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike LoughnaneG | 37 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| Dorian GrosberG | 36 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Louis BondG | 34 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Rashad KingG | 29 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Ryan WilliamsG | 17 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Brayden YoungF | 16 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam KoelschC | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Petar PinterC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sage BaptisteF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Boston U
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrone AlexanderG | 37 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| Azmar AbdullahG | 35 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| Sam HughesF | 33 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Michelangelo ObertiF | 26 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Matai BaptisteF | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| EJ VernonF | 16 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Darnell Lloyd IVF | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew BhesaniaF | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Alex ZakheimG | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |