Who will win Dartmouth vs Boston U?
The model gives Boston University a 52% chance to beat Dartmouth, with a projected score of Boston U 74, Dartmouth 74.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 50–60% have been right 55.4% of the time in 16,654 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boston U | |||||
| AlexanderG · 33 min | 15.4 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 15+ 51% | |
| ObertiF · 24 min | 12.3 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 10+ 64% | |
| HughesF · 34 min | 12.1 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 10+ 63% | |
| AbdullahG · 29 min | 10.9 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 10+ 55% | |
 Dartmouth | |||||
| McNameeG · 27 min | 12.5 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 10+ 65% | |
| HiattG · 26 min | 9.2 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 10+ 42% | |
| StrelnikovC · 16 min | 8.8 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 10+ 39% | |
| AbusaraG · 23 min | 7.3 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 5+ 67% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Michelangelo Oberti: Dartmouth 51%Boston U 49%
The white mark is the call with him: Boston U 52%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Boston U without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston U | ||||
| Michelangelo Oberti | 0.8 | 49% | −3 | 74–74 |
| Dartmouth | ||||
| CJ Aldrich III | 0.8 | 56% | +4 | 73–75 |
| Jake Pollack | 0.6 | 55% | +3 | 73–75 |
| Anton Strelnikov | 0.6 | 55% | +3 | 73–75 |
| Cameron McNamee | 0.5 | 55% | +3 | 73–75 |
Change is in Boston U's win chance, in points. Scores read Dartmouth, then Boston U. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Dartmouth 3-1WWLW
- Nov 11W 85-76at UAlbanyCovered +1.5 · Over 139.5
- Nov 8L 71-78vs C ConnecticutDidn't cover −6.5 · Over 140.5
- Nov 4W 107-50vs Framingham State
- Nov 2W 69-62at Marist
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 83.0 and allowing 66.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 2 over, 0 under
Boston U 3-1WWLW
- Nov 12W 100-74vs Johnson & Wales
- Nov 9L 55-72at NorthwesternDidn't cover +13.5 · Under 143.5
- Nov 6W 72-67at BrownCovered +1.5 · Under 145.5
- Nov 2W 93-85vs Northeastern
- Last 4
- 3–1, scoring 80.0 and allowing 74.5
- Against the spread, this season
- 1–1
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Dartmouth | Boston U | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.6 238th | 104.7 169th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.1 175th | 112.7 303rd |
| Possessions a game | 71.0 157th | 68.9 337th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.3% 123rd | 52.0% 87th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.6% 193rd | 49.9% 139th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.7% 329th | 19.3% 309th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 33.8% 67th | 34.2% 47th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 186th | 0.30 41st |
The widest gap: Dartmouth's offense (238th) against Boston U's defense (303rd), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Dartmouth 35, Boston U 35
- First-half margin
- Boston U by 0.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 69.4
- Projected second half
- Dartmouth 39, Boston U 39
- Second-half points, both teams
- 78.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Dartmouth, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 39.0 scored, 30.2 allowed
- Boston U, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 38.0 scored, 38.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Dartmouth
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron McNameeG | 27 | 12.5 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 5+ reb 52% · 2+ threes 57% | |||||
| Landon WilliamsG | 26 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
| Cam HiattG | 26 | 9.2 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 42% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ threes 39% | |||||
| Nikola AbusaraG | 23 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 4+ reb 47% · 2+ ast 47% | |||||
| Dan CivelloC | 21 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| 5+ pts 66% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Acen JimenezG | 17 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 48% · 2+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Anton StrelnikovC | 16 | 8.8 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 3+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 25% | |||||
| Ernas ValauskasG | 15 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 55% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
Boston U
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam HughesF | 34 | 12.1 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 58% · 2+ threes 46% | |||||
| Kyrone AlexanderG | 33 | 15.4 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 44% | |||||
| Azmar AbdullahG | 29 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 48% to play · 10+ pts 55% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 49% | |||||
| Michelangelo ObertiF | 24 | 12.3 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 64% · 7+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Matai BaptisteF | 24 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 50% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Alex ZakheimG | 23 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
| Darnell Lloyd IVF | 17 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 3+ reb 54% | |||||
| Andrew BhesaniaF | 17 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 3+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 51% | |||||
Missed the last game: Azmar Abdullah (31 min a game).
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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