Probable Stats
Menu

Oral Roberts 55, C Arkansas 85

Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 8:30 PM ET at Farris Center. Oral Roberts our rank 304 · 1-2; C Arkansas our rank 162 · 2-1.

Who won Oral Roberts vs C Arkansas?

Final: Central Arkansas 85, Oral Roberts 55. Before tip-off the model gave Central Arkansas a 76% chance to win, with a projected margin of 8.5 points for Central Arkansas. Ty Robinson scored 29 for C Arkansas; Luke Gray had 22 for Oral Roberts.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winC Arkansas 76%Oral Roberts 24%
Projected score64–73Oral Roberts, then C Arkansas
Margin8.5C Arkansas · no line posted
Total137.5no line posted
First half30–35C Arkansas ahead 67%
Oral Roberts by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30C Arkansas by 40Model: C Arkansas by 8.5Oral Roberts by 20Evenby 20C Arkansas by 40Model: C Arkansas by 8.5

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Ty Robinson: Oral Roberts 28%C Arkansas 72%

The white mark is the call with him: C Arkansas 76%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsC Arkansas without himChangeProjected score
C Arkansas
Ty Robinson1.472%−465–72
Tucker Anderson0.973%−365–73
Luke Moore0.574%−265–73

Change is in C Arkansas's win chance, in points. Scores read Oral Roberts, then C Arkansas. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Oral Roberts

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    C Arkansas

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    Oral RobertsC Arkansas
    Points scored per 100 possessions99.5 282nd104.2 177th
    Points allowed per 100113.5 316th108.0 172nd
    Possessions a game70.8 184th71.3 121st
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)48.1% 330th51.0% 144th
    Opponents' shooting50.3% 166th49.4% 106th
    Turnovers, share of possessions18.9% 277th18.1% 194th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses35.8% 11th29.7% 295th
    Free throws per shot0.26 162nd0.26 186th

    The widest gap: C Arkansas's offense (177th) against Oral Roberts's defense (316th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    C Arkansas led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 11.3 points and the total by 13.5.

    At halftime
    Oral Roberts 31, C Arkansas 47
    Projected halftime score
    Oral Roberts 30, C Arkansas 35
    First-half margin
    C Arkansas by 4.7
    First-half points, both teams
    64.5
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

    Oral Roberts

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Boden WilliamsG348412
    Luke GrayF2622410
    Martins KilupsG252510
    Cal FurnishG2211113
    Jamal GeorgeG204520
    Chase MartinG192320
    Alex CoutoG185411
    Thomas ZorbasF101110
    Amire RobinsonG60200

    More games on Mon, Nov 2

    All games
    1. Final67-77Miami vs Florida, men's: game page
    2. Final72-78Purdue vs Gonzaga, men's: game page
    3. Final83-94Ohio State vs BYU, men's: game page
    4. Final76-61Davidson at Washington St, men's: game page
    5. Final75-84Arizona vs UCLA, men's: game page
    6. Final73-74Seattle U at Hawai'i, men's: game page