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Pepperdine 85, Cornell 86

Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Newman Arena. Pepperdine our rank 174 · 2-2; Cornell our rank 234 · 2-2.

Who won Pepperdine vs Cornell?

Final: Cornell 86, Pepperdine 85. Before tip-off the model gave Cornell a 78% chance to win, with a projected margin of 9.3 points for Cornell. Jacob Beccles scored 19 for Cornell; Alex Constanza had 25 for Pepperdine.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winCornell 78%Pepperdine 22%
Projected score68–77Pepperdine, then Cornell
Margin9.3Cornell · no line posted
Total145.1no line posted
First half31–37Cornell ahead 68%
Pepperdine by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Cornell by 40Model: Cornell by 9.3Pepperdine by 20Evenby 20Cornell by 40Model: Cornell by 9.3

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without Petar Majstorovic: Pepperdine 20%Cornell 80%

The white mark is the call with him: Cornell 78%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsCornell without himChangeProjected score
Pepperdine
Petar Majstorovic1.080%+267–78
Evan Haywood0.679%+168–78
Jahari Williamson0.679%+168–78
Anthony Robinson0.579%+168–77

Change is in Cornell's win chance, in points. Scores read Pepperdine, then Cornell. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Pepperdine

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    Cornell

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    PepperdineCornell
    Points scored per 100 possessions105.2 159th104.5 172nd
    Points allowed per 100109.9 224th113.0 311th
    Possessions a game71.7 87th72.3 49th
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)52.3% 67th51.1% 138th
    Opponents' shooting50.5% 184th49.6% 119th
    Turnovers, share of possessions17.0% 66th17.9% 159th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses32.6% 132nd29.6% 299th
    Free throws per shot0.28 102nd0.20 363rd

    The widest gap: Pepperdine's offense (159th) against Cornell's defense (311th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Cornell led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 0.9 points and the total by 17.9.

    At halftime
    Pepperdine 40, Cornell 46
    Projected halftime score
    Pepperdine 31, Cornell 37
    First-half margin
    Cornell by 5.1
    First-half points, both teams
    68.1
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

    Cornell

    PlayerMinPtsRebAst3s
    Anthony NimaniG288440
    Jacob BecclesG2819244
    Kaspar SeppF2513761
    Mateen RafiqG2317014
    Quinn GibsonF224830
    Mikehi WilliamsF208310
    Ian ImegwuF1312004
    Luke KennevanG132210
    Ryan BurbachG133211

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