UNC Greensboro at Cornell
Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:00 AM ET at Newman Arena. UNC Greensboro our rank 282 · 2-2; Cornell our rank 234 · 2-2.
Who will win UNC Greensboro vs Cornell?
The model gives Cornell a 71% chance to beat UNC Greensboro, with a projected score of Cornell 83, UNC Greensboro 77.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell | |||||
| BecclesG · 21 min | 9.8 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 10+ 47% | |
| GibsonF · 23 min | 9.6 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 10+ 45% | |
| RafiqG · 21 min | 8.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 10+ 37% | |
| NimaniG · 25 min | 8.1 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 10+ 34% | |
| UNC Greensboro | |||||
| NealG · 31 min | 14.8 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 15+ 48% | |
| GreerG · 30 min | 13.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 15+ 38% | |
| GrantG · 32 min | 10.9 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 10+ 55% | |
| ManiG · 27 min | 8.4 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 10+ 36% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Ante Beljan: UNC Greensboro 27%Cornell 73%
The white mark is the call with him: Cornell 71%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Cornell without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro | ||||
| Ante Beljan | 0.6 | 73% | +2 | 76–83 |
Change is in Cornell's win chance, in points. Scores read UNC Greensboro, then Cornell. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
UNC Greensboro 2-2WLLW
- Nov 11W 91-84vs Lees McRae
- Nov 9L 72-82at UICCovered +19.5 · Over 148.5
- Nov 6L 65-74at ElonCovered +9.5 · Under 152.5
- Nov 3W 96-43vs Milligan
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 81.0 and allowing 70.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 2–0
- Totals, this season
- 1 over, 1 under
Cornell 2-2WLWL
- Nov 11L 64-88at St BonaventureDidn't cover +7.5 · Under 157.5
- Nov 8W 99-59vs Keuka
- Nov 5L 64-71at LehighDidn't cover −1.5 · Under 159.5
- Nov 2W 86-85vs Pepperdine
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 78.2 and allowing 75.8
- Against the spread, this season
- 0–2
- Totals, this season
- 0 over, 2 under
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| UNC Greensboro | Cornell | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.2 218th | 104.5 172nd |
| Points allowed per 100 | 114.5 330th | 113.0 311th |
| Possessions a game | 70.5 215th | 72.3 49th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 51.4% 111th | 51.1% 138th |
| Opponents' shooting | 49.2% 86th | 49.6% 119th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 17.9% 164th | 17.9% 159th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.2% 219th | 29.6% 299th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.25 252nd | 0.20 363rd |
The widest gap: Cornell's offense (172nd) against UNC Greensboro's defense (330th), of 365 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- UNC Greensboro 36, Cornell 39
- First-half margin
- Cornell by 3.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 74.7
- Projected second half
- UNC Greensboro 41, Cornell 44
- Second-half points, both teams
- 84.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- UNC Greensboro, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 36.8 scored, 35.2 allowed
- Cornell, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 38.8 scored, 39.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
UNC Greensboro
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron GrantG | 32 | 10.9 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 10+ pts 55% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 58% | |||||
| Dionte NealG | 31 | 14.8 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| 15+ pts 48% · 3+ reb 49% · 5+ ast 48% | |||||
| RJ GreerG | 30 | 13.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 3+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 61% | |||||
| Jon ManiG | 27 | 8.4 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 36% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 62% | |||||
| Zavier FitchF | 22 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 6+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Ante BeljanF | 16 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 77% to play · 5+ pts 69% · 3+ reb 45% | |||||
| Vernon Collins Jr.F | 16 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 55% · 1+ threes 17% | |||||
| Charles BarnesG | 15 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
Cornell
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony NimaniG | 25 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 3+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 53% | |||||
| Quinn GibsonF | 23 | 9.6 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 45% · 6+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 49% | |||||
| Jacob BecclesG | 21 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 2+ reb 60% · 3+ ast 42% | |||||
| Mateen RafiqG | 21 | 8.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 37% · 2+ reb 50% · 2+ threes 50% | |||||
| Kaspar SeppF | 18 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 47% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Mikehi WilliamsF | 16 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 36% | |||||
| Ryan BurbachG | 14 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 35% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Jax AbalosF | 12 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 40% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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