Robert Morris 49, Nevada 86
Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Lawlor Events Center. Robert Morris our rank 253 · 0-3; Nevada our rank 72 · 2-1.
Who won Robert Morris vs Nevada?
Final: Nevada 86, Robert Morris 49. Before tip-off the model gave Nevada a 81% chance to win, with a projected margin of 10.8 points for Nevada. Elijah Price scored 19 for Nevada; KJ Garris Jr. had 16 for Robert Morris.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 84.9% of the time in 12,246 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Elijah Price: Robert Morris 28%Nevada 72%
The white mark is the call with him: Nevada 81%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Nevada without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | ||||
| Elijah Price | 3.6 | 72% | −9 | 63–70 |
| Vaughn Weems | 2.9 | 74% | −7 | 63–71 |
| Styles Phipps | 1.7 | 77% | −4 | 62–71 |
| Peter Bandelj | 1.4 | 78% | −3 | 62–72 |
| Robert Morris | ||||
| Jalik Dunkley | 0.7 | 83% | +2 | 61–73 |
Change is in Nevada's win chance, in points. Scores read Robert Morris, then Nevada. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Robert Morris
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Nevada
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Robert Morris | Nevada | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 98.4 299th | 113.2 66th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 108.7 190th | 101.8 80th |
| Possessions a game | 69.2 327th | 70.4 222nd |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.4% 320th | 50.8% 159th |
| Opponents' shooting | 50.5% 183rd | 47.7% 23rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.8% 335th | 17.0% 63rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 28.2% 347th | 33.0% 106th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.26 156th | 0.27 109th |
The widest gap: Nevada's defense (80th) against Robert Morris's offense (299th), of 365 teams.
First half
Nevada led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 11.0 points and the total by 2.3.
- At halftime
- Robert Morris 24, Nevada 41
- Projected halftime score
- Robert Morris 28, Nevada 34
- First-half margin
- Nevada by 6.0
- First-half points, both teams
- 62.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Robert Morris
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius LivingstonG | 30 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| KJ Garris Jr.G | 30 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Ace ValentineG | 28 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Samuel ObenjoF | 25 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Eddie Cooke IIIG | 22 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Ta'Zir SmithG | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Jalik DunkleyF | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| KC UgwuakaziF | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Will OccomyG | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Nevada
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter BandeljG | 24 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Styles PhippsG | 24 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1 |
| TJ CoulterG | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| Vaughn WeemsG | 21 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Peyton WhiteG | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Elijah PriceF | 20 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Simon MajokC | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Myles WalkerG | 16 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| SJ MadisonG | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |