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Texas A&M-CC 55, Texas St 67

Final. Monday, November 2, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center. Texas A&M-CC our rank 201 · 2-1; Texas St our rank 142 · 3-0.

Who won Texas A&M-CC vs Texas St?

Final: Texas State 67, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 55. Before tip-off the model gave Texas State a 71% chance to win, with a projected margin of 6.6 points for Texas State. DJ Hall scored 18 for Texas St; Desmond Kent Jr. had 13 for Texas A&M-CC.

Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.

The call

From this morning's ratings; logged before tip-off.
To winTexas St 71%Texas A&M-CC 29%
Projected score63–70Texas A&M-CC, then Texas St
Margin6.6Texas St · no line posted
Total132.5no line posted
First half29–33Texas St ahead 63%
Texas A&M-CC by 20by 10Evenby 10by 20by 30Texas St by 40Model: Texas St by 6.6Texas A&M-CC by 20Evenby 20Texas St by 40Model: Texas St by 6.6

Half of games like thisFour in five

Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.

The game without one player

Pick a regular to sit him

Without DJ Hall: Texas A&M-CC 34%Texas St 66%

The white mark is the call with him: Texas St 71%.

PlayerPoints a game he addsTexas St without himChangeProjected score
Texas St
DJ Hall1.666%−564–69
Quel'Ron House1.167%−464–69
Paul Djobet1.168%−363–69
Texas A&M-CC
Daniel Michelini-Jackson0.672%+163–70

Change is in Texas St's win chance, in points. Scores read Texas A&M-CC, then Texas St. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.

Play-by-play

    Team numbers

    Why the model sees it this way

    The game in numbers

    The matchup

    Form

    Each team's last five before this game

    Texas A&M-CC

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    Texas St

    No games yet this season: this is its first.

    The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.

    Offense against defense

    Adjusted for opponents · rank of 365
    Texas A&M-CCTexas St
    Points scored per 100 possessions100.0 270th106.1 142nd
    Points allowed per 100106.6 141st108.1 176th
    Possessions a game69.7 292nd69.6 302nd
    Shooting (effective field-goal %)50.6% 176th52.4% 63rd
    Opponents' shooting48.5% 47th50.1% 157th
    Turnovers, share of possessions19.5% 321st19.2% 304th
    Offensive rebounds, share of misses33.6% 80th33.1% 104th
    Free throws per shot0.29 60th0.26 173rd

    The widest gap: Texas St's defense (176th) against Texas A&M-CC's offense (270th), of 365 teams.

    First half

    Projected before tip-off

    Ahead at halftime

    Texas St led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 5.4 points and the total by 1.2.

    At halftime
    Texas A&M-CC 26, Texas St 35
    Projected halftime score
    Texas A&M-CC 29, Texas St 33
    First-half margin
    Texas St by 3.6
    First-half points, both teams
    62.2
    Tied at the half
    4%

    Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard

    Box score

    Each team's players, most minutes first

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