Who won UT Martin vs Tulane?
Final: Tulane 100, UT Martin 98. Before tip-off the model gave Tulane a 75% chance to win, with a projected margin of 8.4 points for Tulane. Krystian Lewis scored 40 for Tulane; Davi Remagen had 24 for UT Martin.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 70–80% have been right 74.5% of the time in 14,414 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 8.8 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without TJ Nadeau: UT Martin 27%Tulane 73%
The white mark is the call with him: Tulane 75%.
| Player | Points a game he adds | Tulane without him | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tulane | ||||
| TJ Nadeau | 1.0 | 73% | −2 | 62–69 |
| Tyler Ringgold | 0.7 | 74% | −1 | 62–70 |
Change is in Tulane's win chance, in points. Scores read UT Martin, then Tulane. A player's value is what the team is better by with him than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
UT Martin
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Tulane
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| UT Martin | Tulane | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.1 199th | 105.1 161st |
| Points allowed per 100 | 109.5 211th | 111.3 269th |
| Possessions a game | 69.4 315th | 70.7 196th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 54.2% 11th | 50.7% 164th |
| Opponents' shooting | 46.8% 13th | 53.5% 344th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 19.5% 316th | 18.1% 187th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 35.7% 13th | 30.4% 265th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.27 140th | 0.34 2nd |
The widest gap: UT Martin's offense (199th) against Tulane's defense (269th), of 365 teams.
First half
UT Martin led at the half, against the projection. The margin was off by 6.6 points and the total by 10.3.
- At halftime
- UT Martin 37, Tulane 35
- Projected halftime score
- UT Martin 29, Tulane 33
- First-half margin
- Tulane by 4.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.7
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 11,516 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 67.2% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.1 points on average. This season: 366 of 476 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
UT Martin
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaan OnatG | 40 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2 |
| Sasha SavkovG | 40 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
| Arminas VilkasF | 39 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikas StuknysG | 29 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| Filip PetkovskiG | 25 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Davi RemagenG | 25 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| Vladimir KhryapaF | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Armandas BanceviciusF | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Nikola JanicicG | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Tulane
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian LewisG | 43 | 40 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| Tyler RinggoldF | 42 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| KJ GreeneG | 42 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Joah ChappelleF | 29 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| TJ NadeauG | 29 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Carson SchwiegerF | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Ryan BlountG | 21 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Josiah MooreG | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Noah MisterG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |