Who won Alcorn St vs Ole Miss?
Final: Ole Miss 80, Alcorn State 38. Before tip-off the model gave Ole Miss a >99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 40.6 points for Ole Miss. Jaida Civil scored 17 for Ole Miss; Jae'la Smith had 8 for Alcorn St.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Talaysia Cooper: Alcorn St <1%Ole Miss >99%
The white mark is the call with her: Ole Miss >99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Ole Miss without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ole Miss | ||||
| Talaysia Cooper | 4.9 | >99% | 0 | 60–96 |
| Jada Richard | 4.7 | >99% | 0 | 60–96 |
| Jaida Civil | 4.1 | >99% | 0 | 60–96 |
| Doneelah Washington | 3.8 | >99% | 0 | 59–96 |
Change is in Ole Miss's win chance, in points. Scores read Alcorn St, then Ole Miss. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…
Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Alcorn St
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Ole Miss
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Alcorn St | Ole Miss | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 78.6 326th | 106.2 37th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 98.9 276th | 78.3 13th |
| Possessions a game | 71.6 219th | 72.6 129th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.1% 268th | 47.5% 72nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.6% 129th | 43.2% 53rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 25.1% 283rd | 21.5% 32nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 31.5% 250th | 33.6% 144th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 213th | 0.20 228th |
The widest gap: Ole Miss's defense (13th) against Alcorn St's offense (326th), of 363 teams.
First half
Ole Miss led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 6.4 points and the total by 18.9.
- At halftime
- Alcorn St 19, Ole Miss 36
- Projected halftime score
- Alcorn St 25, Ole Miss 49
- First-half margin
- Ole Miss by 23.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 73.9
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Alcorn St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazlyn JohnsonG | 26 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Lauren NelsonF | 25 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Chrishunti WalkerF | 25 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Jae'la SmithG | 25 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Dekyra MitchellG | 22 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Jada MorganG | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Arene IyekekpolorF | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Ariyah BurkeG | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Fatime SeckG | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Ole Miss
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaida CivilG | 33 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Jada RichardG | 27 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Rachael OkokohF | 25 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Doneelah WashingtonF | 22 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Talaysia CooperG | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jade TillmanG | 22 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| Lauren JacobsG | 20 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Knisha GodfreyG | 15 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Maya AndersonG | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |