Louisiana Tech at Ole Miss
Women's · Sunday, November 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss. Louisiana Tech our rank 82 · 4-0; Ole Miss AP 21, our rank 23 · 3-0.
Who will win Louisiana Tech vs Ole Miss?
The model gives Ole Miss a 94% chance to beat Louisiana Tech, with a projected score of Ole Miss 78, Louisiana Tech 59.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | |||||
| CooperG · 22 min | 13.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 15+ 41% | |
| TillmanG · 22 min | 10.9 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 10+ 54% | |
| CivilG · 24 min | 10.8 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 10+ 54% | |
| RichardG · 25 min | 10.6 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 10+ 52% | |
| Louisiana Tech | |||||
| MarshallF · 25 min | 9.9 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 10+ 48% | |
| WeaverG · 29 min | 9.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 10+ 44% | |
| DawsonF · 18 min | 7.9 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 10+ 33% | |
| WellsG · 30 min | 7.7 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 10+ 31% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Talaysia Cooper: Louisiana Tech 13%Ole Miss 87%
The white mark is the call with her: Ole Miss 94%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Ole Miss without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | ||||
| Talaysia Cooper | 4.9 | 87% | −7 | 61–75 |
| Jada Richard | 4.7 | 87% | −7 | 61–75 |
| Jaida Civil | 4.1 | 88% | −6 | 61–76 |
| Doneelah Washington | 3.8 | 89% | −5 | 61–76 |
| Louisiana Tech | ||||
| Jordan Marshall | 3.0 | 96% | +2 | 57–79 |
| Kaleigh Thompson | 2.2 | 96% | +2 | 58–79 |
| Alexia Weaver | 2.2 | 96% | +2 | 58–79 |
| Joy Madison-Key | 1.8 | 95% | +1 | 58–79 |
Change is in Ole Miss's win chance, in points. Scores read Louisiana Tech, then Ole Miss. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Louisiana Tech 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 78-51vs N'Western St
- Nov 8W 82-59at McNeese
- Nov 5W 90-41vs Texas A&M-Texarkana
- Nov 2W 61-57at Toledo
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 77.8 and allowing 52.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Louisiana Tech | Ole Miss | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.5 64th | 106.2 37th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 91.4 126th | 78.3 13th |
| Possessions a game | 70.6 312th | 72.6 129th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 48.2% 45th | 47.5% 72nd |
| Opponents' shooting | 44.4% 116th | 43.2% 53rd |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.2% 73rd | 21.5% 32nd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.4% 108th | 33.6% 144th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 115th | 0.20 228th |
The widest gap: Ole Miss's offense (37th) against Louisiana Tech's defense (126th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Louisiana Tech 27, Ole Miss 38
- First-half margin
- Ole Miss by 10.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.8
- Projected second half
- Louisiana Tech 32, Ole Miss 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.8
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Louisiana Tech, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 36.8 scored, 21.2 allowed
- Ole Miss, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 3 · 35.3 scored, 21.0 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Louisiana Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittani WellsG | 30 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 54% · 4+ ast 44% | |||||
| Alexia WeaverG | 29 | 9.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| 10+ pts 44% · 2+ ast 52% · 2+ threes 51% | |||||
| Jordan MarshallF | 25 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 6+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 16% | |||||
| Kaleigh ThompsonG | 23 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Alana ObianozieG | 22 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 3+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 31% | |||||
| Joy Madison-KeyG | 21 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 48% · 2+ ast 62% | |||||
| Hillary DawsonF | 18 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 20% | |||||
| E'Marriha JohnsonF | 11 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 30% · 2+ reb 56% | |||||
Ole Miss
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada RichardG | 25 | 10.6 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ ast 46% · 1+ threes 56% | |||||
| Jaida CivilG | 24 | 10.8 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 5+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Talaysia CooperG | 22 | 13.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| 15+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Jade TillmanG | 22 | 10.9 | 5.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 54% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 40% | |||||
| Doneelah WashingtonF | 21 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 48% · 5+ reb 54% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Knisha GodfreyG | 20 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 36% · 3+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 56% | |||||
| Maya AndersonG | 19 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 70% · 4+ reb 44% · 1+ threes 61% | |||||
| Rachael OkokohF | 18 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 38% · 5+ reb 45% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…