AR-Pine Bluff at Louisiana Tech
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 7:30 PM ET at Thomas Assembly Center. AR-Pine Bluff our rank 301 · 1-3; Louisiana Tech our rank 82 · 4-0.
Who will win AR-Pine Bluff vs Louisiana Tech?
The model gives Louisiana Tech a 98% chance to beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff, with a projected score of Louisiana Tech 83, AR-Pine Bluff 57.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | |||||
| MarshallF · 25 min | 12.7 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 15+ 35% | |
| WeaverG · 28 min | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 10+ 62% | |
| DawsonF · 18 min | 10.4 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 10+ 51% | |
| WellsG · 30 min | 9.7 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 10+ 46% | |
| AR-Pine Bluff | |||||
| BowenG · 27 min | 13.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 15+ 38% | |
| PellyG · 26 min | 11.9 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 10+ 61% | |
| JacksonG · 25 min | 9.7 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 10+ 46% | |
| TaylorF · 23 min | 6.7 | 6.7 | 0.6 | 5+ 63% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Jordan Marshall: AR-Pine Bluff 3%Louisiana Tech 97%
The white mark is the call with her: Louisiana Tech 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Louisiana Tech without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | ||||
| Jordan Marshall | 3.0 | 97% | −1 | 58–81 |
| Kaleigh Thompson | 2.2 | 97% | −1 | 58–81 |
| Alexia Weaver | 2.2 | 97% | −1 | 58–82 |
| Joy Madison-Key | 1.8 | 97% | −1 | 58–82 |
Change is in Louisiana Tech's win chance, in points. Scores read AR-Pine Bluff, then Louisiana Tech. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
AR-Pine Bluff 1-3LLWL
- Nov 12L 90-95at Arkansas
- Nov 9W 84-50vs Arkansas Baptist
- Nov 4L 47-66at Tarleton St
- Nov 2L 54-77at Texas A&M
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 68.8 and allowing 72.0
Louisiana Tech 4-0WWWW
- Nov 12W 78-51vs N'Western St
- Nov 8W 82-59at McNeese
- Nov 5W 90-41vs Texas A&M-Texarkana
- Nov 2W 61-57at Toledo
- Last 4
- 4–0, scoring 77.8 and allowing 52.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| AR-Pine Bluff | Louisiana Tech | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.2 246th | 101.5 64th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 103.4 341st | 91.4 126th |
| Possessions a game | 72.3 148th | 70.6 312th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.8% 225th | 48.2% 45th |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.6% 179th | 44.4% 116th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.7% 111th | 22.2% 73rd |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.6% 190th | 34.4% 108th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 181st | 0.22 115th |
The widest gap: Louisiana Tech's offense (64th) against AR-Pine Bluff's defense (341st), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- AR-Pine Bluff 26, Louisiana Tech 40
- First-half margin
- Louisiana Tech by 14.8
- First-half points, both teams
- 66.2
- Projected second half
- AR-Pine Bluff 31, Louisiana Tech 42
- Second-half points, both teams
- 73.4
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- AR-Pine Bluff, first halves so far
- Led 1 of 4 · 33.5 scored, 35.8 allowed
- Louisiana Tech, first halves so far
- Led 4 of 4 · 36.8 scored, 21.2 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
AR-Pine Bluff
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiya BowenG | 27 | 13.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 15+ pts 38% · 2+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Jailah PellyG | 26 | 11.9 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 43% · 3+ ast 48% | |||||
| Jakyra JacksonG | 25 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 0.2 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 62% | |||||
| Jasmine DavisG | 25 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 3+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Yasmyn PalmerC | 24 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 5+ reb 43% | |||||
| Tyra TaylorF | 23 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 7+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 45% | |||||
| Ruth BanjokoF | 19 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 3+ reb 57% | |||||
| Parc LigginsG | 16 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 27% · 2+ reb 38% · 1+ threes 22% | |||||
Louisiana Tech
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittani WellsG | 30 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 49% · 2+ threes 48% | |||||
| Alexia WeaverG | 28 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| 10+ pts 62% · 2+ reb 55% · 3+ ast 49% | |||||
| Jordan MarshallF | 25 | 12.7 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| 15+ pts 35% · 7+ reb 49% · 2+ ast 27% | |||||
| Kaleigh ThompsonG | 23 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 61% · 4+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 50% | |||||
| Alana ObianozieG | 22 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 10+ pts 39% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Joy Madison-KeyG | 21 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 0.1 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 43% | |||||
| Hillary DawsonF | 18 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 51% · 5+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| E'Marriha JohnsonF | 12 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 3+ reb 49% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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