AR-Pine Bluff 54, Texas A&M 77
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Reed Arena. AR-Pine Bluff our rank 301 · 1-3; Texas A&M our rank 99 · 3-0.
Who won AR-Pine Bluff vs Texas A&M?
Final: Texas A&M 77, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 54. Before tip-off the model gave Texas A&M a 99% chance to win, with a projected margin of 31.9 points for Texas A&M. Kailyn Gilbert scored 30 for Texas A&M; Indiya Bowen had 18 for AR-Pine Bluff.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Kailyn Gilbert: AR-Pine Bluff 2%Texas A&M 98%
The white mark is the call with her: Texas A&M 99%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Texas A&M without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | ||||
| Kailyn Gilbert | 3.4 | 98% | −1 | 65–93 |
| Miyah Verse | 2.8 | 98% | −1 | 65–94 |
| Kaniya Boyd | 1.8 | 99% | 0 | 64–94 |
| Emerald Parker | 1.6 | 99% | 0 | 64–94 |
Change is in Texas A&M's win chance, in points. Scores read AR-Pine Bluff, then Texas A&M. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
AR-Pine Bluff
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Texas A&M
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| AR-Pine Bluff | Texas A&M | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.2 246th | 95.3 111th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 103.4 341st | 88.5 84th |
| Possessions a game | 72.3 148th | 72.3 148th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.8% 225th | 44.1% 271st |
| Opponents' shooting | 45.6% 179th | 44.8% 139th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.7% 111th | 24.2% 246th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.6% 190th | 36.0% 48th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.21 181st | 0.19 302nd |
The widest gap: Texas A&M's offense (111th) against AR-Pine Bluff's defense (341st), of 363 teams.
First half
Texas A&M led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 6.4 points and the total by 21.0.
- At halftime
- AR-Pine Bluff 21, Texas A&M 33
- Projected halftime score
- AR-Pine Bluff 28, Texas A&M 47
- First-half margin
- Texas A&M by 18.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 75.0
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
AR-Pine Bluff
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakyra JacksonG | 31 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Jailah PellyG | 31 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| Yasmyn PalmerC | 30 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Indiya BowenG | 30 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Tyra TaylorF | 28 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Jasmine DavisG | 24 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Ruth BanjokoF | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Malanie FrancisC | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jada JamesG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Texas A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailyn GilbertG | 33 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Rieyan DeSouzeG | 31 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Miyah VerseF | 28 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Emerald ParkerC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Chaney SpencerG | 27 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Anita FranchiniF | 19 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| Janae KentG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Kaniya BoydG | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Pien SteenbergenG | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |