Who will win Lamar vs Texas A&M?
The model gives Texas A&M a 94% chance to beat Lamar, with a projected score of Texas A&M 75, Lamar 55.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas A&M | |||||
| GilbertG · 32 min | 14.2 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 15+ 44% | |
| ParkerC · 26 min | 12.1 | 6.9 | 0.5 | 10+ 63% | |
| VerseF · 24 min | 7.8 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 10+ 32% | |
| KentG · 23 min | 6.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 5+ 62% | |
 Lamar | |||||
| FormanG · 27 min | 9.7 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 10+ 46% | |
| OlengaF · 24 min | 8.9 | 6.5 | 0.2 | 10+ 40% | |
| AlexanderG · 23 min | 8.9 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 10+ 40% | |
| HubbardG · 20 min | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 5+ 65% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kailyn Gilbert: Lamar 10%Texas A&M 90%
The white mark is the call with her: Texas A&M 94%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Texas A&M without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | ||||
| Kailyn Gilbert | 3.4 | 90% | −4 | 57–73 |
| Miyah Verse | 2.8 | 91% | −3 | 56–73 |
| Kaniya Boyd | 1.8 | 92% | −2 | 56–74 |
| Emerald Parker | 1.6 | 93% | −1 | 56–74 |
| Lamar | ||||
| Solenne Olenga | 0.9 | 95% | +1 | 54–75 |
Change is in Texas A&M's win chance, in points. Scores read Lamar, then Texas A&M. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Lamar 2-2WLLW
- Nov 12W 107-25vs Arlington Baptist
- Nov 9L 28-78at Texas Tech
- Nov 5L 64-79at UT Arlington
- Nov 2W 104-35vs Louisiana Christian
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 75.8 and allowing 54.2
Texas A&M 3-0WWW
- Nov 7W 90-63vs LSU N Orleans
- Nov 5W 62-51vs Louisiana
- Nov 2W 77-54vs AR-Pine Bluff
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 76.3 and allowing 56.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Lamar | Texas A&M | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 85.0 262nd | 95.3 111th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 97.3 244th | 88.5 84th |
| Possessions a game | 71.5 225th | 72.3 148th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 41.5% 348th | 44.1% 271st |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.9% 310th | 44.8% 139th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 23.4% 176th | 24.2% 246th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 34.6% 96th | 36.0% 48th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 274th | 0.19 302nd |
The widest gap: Texas A&M's defense (84th) against Lamar's offense (262nd), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Lamar 25, Texas A&M 36
- First-half margin
- Texas A&M by 11.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 61.4
- Projected second half
- Lamar 30, Texas A&M 38
- Second-half points, both teams
- 68.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Lamar, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 39.0 scored, 27.5 allowed
- Texas A&M, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 21.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Lamar
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamryn WilsonG | 27 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 59% · 3+ reb 51% · 1+ threes 58% | |||||
| Shaila FormanG | 27 | 9.7 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 10+ pts 46% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 45% | |||||
| Jada GravesG | 25 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 5+ pts 60% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ ast 54% | |||||
| Jacei DenleyG | 24 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 2+ reb 46% · 2+ ast 55% | |||||
| Solenne OlengaF | 24 | 8.9 | 6.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 7+ reb 46% | |||||
| Kennedi AlexanderG | 23 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| 10+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 57% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Larissa HubbardG | 20 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 26% | |||||
| Jordan PeteG | 15 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 35% · 1+ threes 40% | |||||
Texas A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailyn GilbertG | 32 | 14.2 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 44% · 6+ reb 44% · 4+ ast 51% | |||||
| Emerald ParkerC | 26 | 12.1 | 6.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 63% · 7+ reb 51% | |||||
| Chaney SpencerG | 25 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 52% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Miyah VerseF | 24 | 7.8 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 7+ reb 54% | |||||
| Janae KentG | 23 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 62% · 3+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Rieyan DeSouzeG | 23 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 3+ reb 47% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Kaniya BoydG | 20 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 43% · 2+ reb 59% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
| Pien SteenbergenG | 13 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 31% · 3+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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