East Texas A&M at Texas A&M
Women's · Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET at Reed Arena. East Texas A&M our rank 247 · 2-2; Texas A&M our rank 99 · 3-0.
Who will win East Texas A&M vs Texas A&M?
The model gives Texas A&M a 95% chance to beat East Texas A&M, with a projected score of Texas A&M 78, East Texas A&M 58.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | |||||
| GilbertG · 32 min | 14.6 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 15+ 46% | |
| ParkerC · 26 min | 12.4 | 7.1 | 0.5 | 10+ 65% | |
| VerseF · 24 min | 8.0 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 10+ 34% | |
| KentG · 23 min | 6.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5+ 63% | |
| East Texas A&M | |||||
| CastilloG · 26 min | 9.8 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 10+ 47% | |
| HorvathG · 28 min | 7.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 10+ 32% | |
| McCoyG · 27 min | 7.7 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 10+ 31% | |
| SerranoG · 21 min | 7.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 5+ 70% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Kailyn Gilbert: East Texas A&M 9%Texas A&M 91%
The white mark is the call with her: Texas A&M 95%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Texas A&M without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | ||||
| Kailyn Gilbert | 3.4 | 91% | −4 | 60–76 |
| Miyah Verse | 2.8 | 92% | −3 | 60–76 |
| Kaniya Boyd | 1.8 | 93% | −2 | 59–77 |
| Emerald Parker | 1.6 | 93% | −2 | 59–77 |
| East Texas A&M | ||||
| Torie Sevier | 0.6 | 95% | 0 | 58–78 |
Change is in Texas A&M's win chance, in points. Scores read East Texas A&M, then Texas A&M. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
East Texas A&M 2-2WLLW
- Nov 11W 80-77vs Louisiana
- Nov 8L 65-78at SMU
- Nov 4L 58-66at Cincinnati
- Nov 2W 81-40vs Oklahoma Christian
- Last 4
- 2–2, scoring 71.0 and allowing 65.2
Texas A&M 3-0WWW
- Nov 7W 90-63vs LSU N Orleans
- Nov 5W 62-51vs Louisiana
- Nov 2W 77-54vs AR-Pine Bluff
- Last 3
- 3–0, scoring 76.3 and allowing 56.0
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| East Texas A&M | Texas A&M | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 88.8 198th | 95.3 111th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 101.0 314th | 88.5 84th |
| Possessions a game | 72.0 179th | 72.3 148th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 47.0% 93rd | 44.1% 271st |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.1% 273rd | 44.8% 139th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 22.6% 106th | 24.2% 246th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 32.3% 204th | 36.0% 48th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.20 267th | 0.19 302nd |
The widest gap: Texas A&M's offense (111th) against East Texas A&M's defense (314th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- East Texas A&M 27, Texas A&M 38
- First-half margin
- Texas A&M by 11.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 64.5
- Projected second half
- East Texas A&M 32, Texas A&M 40
- Second-half points, both teams
- 71.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- East Texas A&M, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 4 · 34.5 scored, 27.5 allowed
- Texas A&M, first halves so far
- Led 3 of 3 · 36.0 scored, 21.7 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
East Texas A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cora HorvathG | 28 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 52% · 3+ ast 52% | |||||
| Terrayah McCoyG | 27 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 31% · 4+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Rezia CastilloG | 26 | 9.8 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 47% · 3+ reb 49% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Samantha SerranoG | 21 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 5+ pts 70% · 3+ reb 42% · 1+ threes 44% | |||||
| Jailynn BrillF | 20 | 6.9 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 64% · 5+ reb 50% · 2+ ast 22% | |||||
| Torie SevierF | 19 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 5+ pts 40% · 4+ reb 44% | |||||
| Jadyn FifeF | 19 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 42% · 3+ reb 52% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Blayke BrackensG | 17 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 19% · 2+ reb 57% · 2+ ast 38% | |||||
Texas A&M
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailyn GilbertG | 32 | 14.6 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| 15+ pts 46% · 6+ reb 45% · 4+ ast 53% | |||||
| Emerald ParkerC | 26 | 12.4 | 7.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 65% · 7+ reb 53% | |||||
| Chaney SpencerG | 25 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 45% · 2+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Miyah VerseF | 24 | 8.0 | 7.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| 10+ pts 34% · 8+ reb 44% | |||||
| Janae KentG | 23 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 63% · 3+ reb 54% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Rieyan DeSouzeG | 23 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 3+ reb 48% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Kaniya BoydG | 20 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ pts 44% · 2+ reb 60% · 2+ ast 39% | |||||
| Pien SteenbergenG | 13 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| 5+ pts 32% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 52% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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