Holy Cross 64, Boston College 54
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Conte Forum. Holy Cross our rank 196 · 3-1; Boston College our rank 162 · 1-2.
Who won Holy Cross vs Boston College?
Final: Holy Cross 64, Boston College 54. Before tip-off the model gave Holy Cross a 30% chance to win — an upset, with a projected margin of 7.1 points for Boston College. Janie Bachmann scored 21 for Holy Cross; Daniele Paunksnyte had 13 for Boston College.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 60–70% have been right 64.3% of the time in 7,507 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Jocelyne Grier: Holy Cross 33%Boston College 67%
The white mark is the call with her: Boston College 70%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Boston College without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College | ||||
| Jocelyne Grier | 1.0 | 67% | −3 | 76–82 |
| Daniele Paunksnyte | 0.8 | 68% | −2 | 76–82 |
| Eunicia Salgado | 0.7 | 68% | −2 | 75–82 |
| Nuria Ausaverri | 0.6 | 68% | −2 | 75–82 |
| Holy Cross | ||||
| Janie Bachmann | 1.4 | 73% | +3 | 74–83 |
| Kendall Eddy | 1.0 | 72% | +2 | 75–83 |
| Emma Lizotte | 0.7 | 72% | +2 | 75–83 |
Change is in Boston College's win chance, in points. Scores read Holy Cross, then Boston College. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
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Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Holy Cross
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Boston College
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Holy Cross | Boston College | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 86.0 252nd | 92.3 148th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 92.5 142nd | 94.4 180th |
| Possessions a game | 70.7 307th | 72.7 115th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 44.8% 220th | 43.0% 315th |
| Opponents' shooting | 42.8% 36th | 46.2% 220th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 21.2% 27th | 24.1% 231st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 27.4% 360th | 34.4% 101st |
| Free throws per shot | 0.16 362nd | 0.23 66th |
The widest gap: Boston College's defense (180th) against Holy Cross's offense (252nd), of 363 teams.
First half
Boston College led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 1.1 points and the total by 15.6.
- At halftime
- Holy Cross 28, Boston College 31
- Projected halftime score
- Holy Cross 35, Boston College 39
- First-half margin
- Boston College by 4.1
- First-half points, both teams
- 74.6
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Holy Cross
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah GriffinG | 37 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| Colleen PhiriG | 32 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Janie BachmannG | 30 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| Kendall EddyG | 29 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Brianna McDermottG | 29 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Emma LizotteF | 23 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Abigail CasperF | 17 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Simone LewisF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Boston College
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniele PaunksnyteG | 37 | 13 | 14 | 1 | 1 |
| Jocelyne GrierG | 31 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Megan HollingsworthG | 31 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Athena TomlinsonG | 30 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Nuria AusaverriF | 29 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Eunicia SalgadoF | 24 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Nora ArozenaF | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Natalia Hall-RosaG | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |