Hou Christian 34, Rice 72
Final. Women's · Monday, November 2, 2026, 9:30 PM ET at Tudor Fieldhouse. Hou Christian our rank 339 · 1-3; Rice our rank 71 · 4-0.
Who won Hou Christian vs Rice?
Final: Rice 72, Houston Christian 34. Before tip-off the model gave Rice a 98% chance to win, with a projected margin of 28.5 points for Rice. Victoria Flores scored 19 for Rice; Dasia Hyams had 7 for Hou Christian.
Prediction made that morning; page updated November 13, 2026.
The call
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 90–100% have been right 96.1% of the time in 10,929 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip.
The game without one player
Without Hailey Adams: Hou Christian 3%Rice 97%
The white mark is the call with her: Rice 98%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Rice without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rice | ||||
| Hailey Adams | 3.5 | 97% | −1 | 64–89 |
| Aniah Alexis | 2.6 | 97% | −1 | 64–89 |
| Louann Battiston | 2.2 | 97% | −1 | 63–90 |
| Lilly Taulelei | 1.9 | 97% | −1 | 63–90 |
Change is in Rice's win chance, in points. Scores read Hou Christian, then Rice. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Play-by-play
Team numbers
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesWin probability
Game chat
Loading the chat…
Why the model sees it this way
The game in numbers
The matchup
Form
Hou Christian
No games yet this season: this is its first.
Rice
No games yet this season: this is its first.
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Hou Christian | Rice | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 76.7 347th | 95.1 114th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 99.5 294th | 83.3 48th |
| Possessions a game | 71.4 234th | 71.5 225th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.5% 299th | 46.3% 128th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.3% 290th | 39.5% 1st |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 26.9% 341st | 22.2% 74th |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 27.6% 359th | 28.3% 354th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 139th | 0.20 237th |
The widest gap: Rice's defense (48th) against Hou Christian's offense (347th), of 363 teams.
First half
Rice led at the half, as projected. The margin was off by 4.6 points and the total by 15.5.
- At halftime
- Hou Christian 18, Rice 39
- Projected halftime score
- Hou Christian 28, Rice 44
- First-half margin
- Rice by 16.4
- First-half points, both teams
- 72.5
- Tied at the half
- 4%
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Box score
Hou Christian
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah FieldsG | 34 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Dasia HyamsG | 32 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Tove CaesarF | 30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan JacksonG | 22 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sadie HallG | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Remy HearnG | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Nikki StanicG | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sidney CarrG | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Veronika KorchaginaF | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Rice
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aniah AlexisG | 31 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| Hailey AdamsG | 30 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 1 |
| Louann BattistonG | 29 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| Jordin BlackmonG | 22 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Myah HazeltonC | 21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Victoria FloresG | 20 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Mylee GuinnG | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Reychel DouglasG | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Kaylen Sta. MariaG | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |