Hou Christian at Weber St
Women's · Saturday, November 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET at Dee Events Center. Hou Christian our rank 339 · 1-3; Weber St our rank 215 · 2-0.
Who will win Hou Christian vs Weber St?
The model gives Weber State a 87% chance to beat Houston Christian, with a projected score of Weber St 69, Hou Christian 54.
Half of games like thisFour in five
Calls of 80–90% have been right 85.0% of the time in 7,719 past games, and the typical miss on the margin is 9.5 points. After the final, the result is pinned to this strip. As of 2:23 AM ET on November 13, 2026. Updated three times a day until tip-off.
Players to watch
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | Last games | Chance of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weber St | |||||
| HintzG · 25 min | 10.5 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 10+ 52% | |
| RobbinsG · 25 min | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 10+ 52% | |
| LauroF · 25 min | 9.0 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 10+ 41% | |
| WhiteG · 28 min | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.4 | 10+ 33% | |
| Hou Christian | |||||
| JacksonG · 31 min | 10.7 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 10+ 53% | |
| HyamsG · 28 min | 7.9 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 10+ 33% | |
| HearnG · 27 min | 7.2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5+ 67% | |
| FieldsG · 30 min | 6.0 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 5+ 56% | |
Bars: points in the player's latest games this season. Blue line: tonight's projection. Every regular's line
The game without one player
Without Nicole Willardson: Hou Christian 14%Weber St 86%
The white mark is the call with her: Weber St 87%.
| Player | Points a game she adds | Weber St without her | Change | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weber St | ||||
| Nicole Willardson | 0.6 | 86% | −1 | 55–69 |
Change is in Weber St's win chance, in points. Scores read Hou Christian, then Weber St. A player's value is what the team is better by with her than with a replacement, from the player ratings.
Model against the line
Your call
All of today's gamesPlay-by-play
Team numbers
Form
Hou Christian 1-3LWLL
- Nov 11L 57-66at North Texas
- Nov 6L 43-84vs Abilene Chrstn
- Nov 4W 80-45vs LeTourneau
- Nov 2L 34-72at Rice
- Last 4
- 1–3, scoring 53.5 and allowing 66.8
The spread and the total are the lines logged with each prediction. Form is what happened; the ratings above already count recent games more.
Offense against defense
| Hou Christian | Weber St | |
|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 76.7 347th | 86.7 236th |
| Points allowed per 100 | 99.5 294th | 95.9 216th |
| Possessions a game | 71.4 234th | 72.0 179th |
| Shooting (effective field-goal %) | 43.5% 299th | 45.5% 175th |
| Opponents' shooting | 47.3% 290th | 43.9% 80th |
| Turnovers, share of possessions | 26.9% 341st | 24.1% 231st |
| Offensive rebounds, share of misses | 27.6% 359th | 30.9% 287th |
| Free throws per shot | 0.22 139th | 0.23 85th |
The widest gap: Weber St's defense (216th) against Hou Christian's offense (347th), of 363 teams.
First half
- Projected halftime score
- Hou Christian 25, Weber St 34
- First-half margin
- Weber St by 8.6
- First-half points, both teams
- 58.7
- Projected second half
- Hou Christian 29, Weber St 36
- Second-half points, both teams
- 65.1
- Tied at the half
- 4%
- Hou Christian, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 4 · 30.5 scored, 32.2 allowed
- Weber St, first halves so far
- Led 2 of 2 · 33.5 scored, 25.5 allowed
Our own projection, not a sportsbook's first-half line. On 10,911 past games it had not seen, the halftime leader was right 73.0% of the time and the first-half total was off by 8.0 points on average. This season: 404 of 492 halftime leaders right. Scorecard
Player projections
Hou Christian
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan JacksonG | 31 | 10.7 | 5.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 10+ pts 53% · 6+ reb 51% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Hannah FieldsG | 30 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 56% · 4+ reb 46% · 1+ threes 47% | |||||
| Dasia HyamsG | 28 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 4+ reb 53% · 2+ ast 52% | |||||
| Remy HearnG | 27 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 5+ pts 67% · 3+ reb 43% · 1+ threes 55% | |||||
| Tove CaesarF | 22 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 5+ pts 41% · 2+ reb 58% · 1+ threes 46% | |||||
| Nikki StanicG | 20 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 53% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 59% | |||||
| Tessa EngelmanF | 17 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 22% · 3+ reb 41% · 1+ threes 19% | |||||
| Sadie HallG | 14 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 55% to play · 5+ pts 21% · 2+ reb 39% · 1+ threes 34% | |||||
Weber St
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | 3s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney WhiteG | 28 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.4 | 0.7 |
| 10+ pts 33% · 2+ reb 53% · 1+ threes 48% | |||||
| Grace HintzG | 25 | 10.5 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 4+ reb 56% · 1+ threes 54% | |||||
| Paris LauroF | 25 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 41% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ threes 35% | |||||
| Nicole WillardsonF | 25 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| 5+ pts 49% · 6+ reb 43% · 2+ ast 35% | |||||
| Hannah RobbinsG | 25 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 10+ pts 52% · 5+ reb 45% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
| Draya WackerG | 22 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 5+ pts 65% · 4+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 42% | |||||
| Dakota NapG | 21 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 5+ pts 24% · 2+ reb 55% · 2+ ast 46% | |||||
| Siena GuttadauroG | 20 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 5+ pts 46% · 2+ reb 56% · 2+ ast 51% | |||||
Our own projections from each player's minutes and production, this opponent and the game's pace: not a sportsbook's lines. Under each name, the round numbers the player is about as likely as not to reach. How they have done
Win probability
Game chat
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